***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 13.06.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 01.07.2013.-07.07.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100 9999.0    0.0   12.3  143.1   73.3   56.0 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    57    43     0   100    4.4   20.2   14.4  165.1   78.0   55.2    4.8    9.7   13.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    75    25   100   13.9   17.8   12.6  144.0   72.2   55.5    3.3   11.6   17.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100    9.2   14.2   13.9  143.6   80.4   57.0    3.8    7.9   12.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   10.1   17.0   13.8  138.8   74.7   58.3    2.3    7.8   13.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100    8.9   15.8   18.9  136.1   74.9   56.8    2.2    6.5   12.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    53    47     0   100    5.3   27.2   13.6  152.4   77.6   53.2    6.0   10.3   22.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    81    19   100   17.4   27.7   14.0  113.6   69.2   58.3    8.0   13.3   24.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   10.7   18.6   13.5  134.0   72.2   57.9    2.0    6.9   14.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100   15.0   16.5   14.7  118.4   68.3   57.2    6.8   13.4   15.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100    8.4   12.6   12.5  129.1   72.9   58.6    4.3    6.8    9.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100    8.5   14.3   11.7  124.4   74.0   58.3    3.5    6.3   12.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100    6.5   10.4   15.1  142.3   75.9   58.2    2.5    5.1    7.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    77    23   100   15.7   30.6   16.0  125.8   71.3   54.9    5.8    9.8   22.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100    0.7   22.8   11.4  139.9   79.8   56.0    0.6    1.4    5.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100    6.3   10.6   14.3  140.2   75.7   58.0    2.7    4.7    8.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01    53    47     0   100    2.5   18.5   14.2  151.3   78.5   54.2    2.7    5.1   14.9   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    81    19   100   13.8   13.6   16.5  111.1   65.5   55.5    9.0   11.4   14.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    56    44     0   100    4.2   24.7   14.6  165.5   77.0   55.8    4.0    7.9   11.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    82    18   100   14.4   17.4   16.9  104.6   65.5   57.0    8.9   12.3   17.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100   12.4   16.0   11.9  138.3   72.3   57.3    5.2   11.0   14.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    53    47     0   100    4.4   21.2   14.8  154.1   79.6   55.5    3.8    9.0   14.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    55    45     0   100    6.6   23.1   14.4  152.5   74.3   55.0    6.1   10.4   14.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   15.2   18.6   14.8  121.6   67.6   54.7    5.9   12.5   18.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100    9.2   17.0   15.3  140.7   72.5   56.9    4.1    6.1   13.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    51    49     0   100    2.4   12.1   12.3  145.3   75.6   59.2    2.0    4.7    6.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    77    23   100   14.3   20.4   14.9  140.7   71.1   55.1    5.3   11.2   15.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100    9.0   23.3   13.2  144.8   80.4   56.2    1.9    5.6   10.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    82    18   100   17.6   21.4   16.7  109.4   65.7   55.6    8.0   13.6   21.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    56    44     0   100    5.3   16.5   13.9  159.3   76.4   54.8    6.5    8.4   12.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------