***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 09.06.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 13.06.2016.-19.06.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    81    19   100   14.6   14.7   16.8    0.4   64.5   58.7   13.8   14.3   14.8   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100   14.6   14.5   16.2   -0.1   55.5   52.7   12.9   14.3   14.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    82    18   100   16.0   16.3   16.7    0.1   59.9   55.2   14.6   15.7   17.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    81    19   100   11.3   11.7   14.4    0.2   59.7   57.5    9.3   10.9   12.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    82    18   100   13.1   13.4   15.1    0.2   59.9   57.5   11.9   12.9   13.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    83    17   100   12.0   12.8   12.6    0.5   63.3   63.1   10.8   11.7   12.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    82    18   100   14.5   14.4   16.3   -0.1   57.2   52.7   13.2   14.2   14.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    82    18   100    6.8    6.8   12.2    0.1   57.6   56.2    5.2    6.5    7.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    85    15   100   14.1   14.1   15.0    0.0   55.1   53.8   13.1   13.8   14.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    84    16   100   13.8   13.8   13.2    0.0   55.9   54.2   13.0   13.6   14.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    83    17   100   14.0   14.0   14.5    0.0   54.1   53.1   13.0   13.7   14.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    83    17   100   11.9   11.9   13.4    0.2   58.5   58.1   10.8   11.6   12.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    83    17   100   13.3   13.9   13.6    0.2   58.8   57.8   12.5   13.1   14.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    81    19   100   14.7   14.6   14.4   -0.2   52.7   51.7   13.5   14.6   15.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    84    16   100   15.1   15.1   16.4    0.2   59.0   57.9   14.0   14.9   15.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    84    16   100   14.1   14.7   14.2    0.3   61.0   58.4   13.0   13.8   15.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100   15.0   14.8   15.9   -0.2   53.3   49.9   13.3   14.8   15.2   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    83    17   100   12.7   12.8   12.5   -0.1   54.5   53.0   11.7   12.5   13.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    83    17   100   14.5   14.3   16.1   -0.1   54.8   52.4   13.1   14.2   14.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    84    16   100    8.2    8.4   10.7    0.2   59.7   57.4    7.3    7.9    8.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    83    17   100   13.8   14.0   16.4    0.1   59.1   55.4   13.1   13.5   14.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    78    22   100   14.0   13.8   15.9   -0.3   53.4   50.2   12.6   13.5   14.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    83    17   100   13.9   13.8   16.0   -0.1   57.4   53.5   12.7   13.7   14.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    82    18   100   14.5   14.4   14.6   -0.2   54.5   51.9   13.2   14.3   14.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    80    20   100   13.7   14.4   16.1    0.5   66.1   59.7   12.7   13.4   14.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    46    54   100   13.6   13.7   12.9    0.5   65.2   63.7   11.7   12.6   13.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    80    20   100   14.0   14.2   16.5    0.5   65.3   59.9   12.2   13.7   14.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    83    17   100   13.0   13.5   15.1    0.3   62.5   60.1   12.0   12.7   14.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    84    16   100   10.9   10.7   11.6   -0.1   52.8   51.9    9.3   10.6   11.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    83    17   100   14.8   14.7   16.5    0.0   59.4   54.3   12.9   14.5   14.9   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------