***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.06.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 12.06.2017.-09.07.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    35    65   100   15.4   15.5   17.2    0.8   72.8   68.8   14.8   15.2   15.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    25    75   100   15.6   16.1   17.4    1.1   81.8   75.2   14.3   14.7   15.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    31    69   100   17.5   17.6   17.4    0.9   75.6   70.1   16.1   16.7   17.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    41    59   100   12.6   12.4   14.7    0.5   70.8   64.0   11.4   11.8   12.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    82    18   100   13.8   14.2   14.7    0.4   68.1   61.6   13.1   13.7   14.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   12.7   12.7   12.3    0.1   58.4   53.9   12.2   12.6   13.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    30    70   100   15.7   16.1   17.4    1.1   80.3   73.4   14.5   15.2   15.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    79    21   100    7.8    7.9   12.1    0.2   60.2   54.7    7.0    7.6    8.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    81    19   100   14.8   15.4   15.0    0.5   70.0   64.4   14.2   14.7   15.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100   14.8   14.9   13.2    0.3   63.1   57.9   14.1   14.6   15.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    82    18   100   14.7   15.1   14.2    0.4   69.9   61.5   14.0   14.5   15.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100   12.8   12.9   13.0    0.3   64.2   57.8   11.8   12.7   13.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    54    46     0   100   13.5   14.2   12.6    0.0   55.4   50.1   13.6   14.1   14.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   15.4   15.6   14.8    0.4   68.8   61.3   14.7   15.3   15.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    39    61   100   16.3   16.5   16.2    0.6   73.0   66.7   15.1   15.7   16.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100   15.1   15.4   13.6    0.3   64.8   58.3   14.1   14.9   15.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    26    74   100   16.1   16.6   17.3    1.2   83.2   75.7   14.8   15.3   15.8   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    82    18   100   13.3   13.7   12.4    0.2   62.2   56.9   12.7   13.1   13.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    23    77   100   15.6   16.1   17.5    1.3   82.8   77.2   14.4   14.8   15.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    80    20   100    9.3    9.4   10.2    0.2   59.7   54.6    8.6    9.2    9.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100   15.0   15.3   16.2    0.5   69.2   63.2   14.2   14.9   15.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    21    79   100   14.9   15.7   17.3    1.3   84.6   77.4   14.0   14.6   14.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    24    76   100   14.8   15.3   17.4    1.3   83.9   78.4   14.0   14.3   14.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    80    20   100   15.1   15.4   14.7    0.4   68.6   62.1   14.4   14.9   15.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    78    22   100   14.8   14.9   15.5    0.3   65.0   57.9   14.1   14.7   14.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    79    21   100   13.6   13.9   12.3    0.3   61.1   57.8   13.1   13.5   13.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    41    59   100   15.0   15.0   16.4    0.6   70.2   64.6   14.0   14.6   14.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    40    60   100   14.2   14.3   15.1    0.6   71.7   65.0   13.3   13.8   14.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   11.8   11.7   11.6    0.2   61.3   55.4   11.1   11.6   12.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    27    73   100   15.7   16.2   17.6    1.1   80.5   74.1   14.5   15.2   15.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------