***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 04.06.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 08.06.2015.-14.06.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    31    69   100   28.1   29.1   29.0    2.3   80.0   75.4   25.2   26.2   27.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    18    82   100   28.0   28.9   29.7    2.7   80.4   77.5   25.1   25.8   27.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100   27.3   27.7   28.8    2.1   72.0   72.4   24.6   26.0   27.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    44    56   100   20.3   20.4   25.9    1.8   67.0   69.8   17.9   19.3   20.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    85    15   100   26.9   27.6   26.5    1.6   63.3   66.5   25.1   26.6   27.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    90    10   100   25.4   25.7   23.1    0.9   59.2   60.3   23.8   25.1   26.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    17    83   100   27.6   28.6   29.6    2.8   81.6   78.5   24.8   25.4   26.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    43    57   100   15.9   15.6   24.1    1.3   64.8   65.3   13.3   14.1   15.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    43    57   100   27.2   27.3   27.6    1.8   68.0   69.6   24.5   25.7   26.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    46    54   100   27.1   26.7   25.4    1.5   65.1   66.7   24.7   25.8   26.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    85    15   100   26.9   27.3   26.1    1.5   62.8   66.4   24.9   26.6   27.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    36    64   100   26.8   26.7   25.4    1.7   68.6   69.0   24.1   25.6   26.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    41    59   100   27.9   28.0   25.4    1.6   66.9   66.4   25.4   26.6   27.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    42    58   100   27.1   27.1   26.9    1.7   69.8   68.9   23.9   26.0   26.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    36    64   100   28.8   29.0   28.2    2.0   72.6   73.3   25.8   27.3   28.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    47    53   100   28.2   28.5   25.9    1.6   65.7   66.7   25.8   27.2   28.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    25    75   100   27.2   27.6   29.0    2.4   77.0   74.5   24.5   25.0   26.2   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    85    15   100   25.6   26.3   24.4    1.4   64.0   65.6   23.9   25.3   26.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    26    74   100   27.0   27.6   29.3    2.5   77.9   75.3   24.2   25.3   26.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    46    54   100   22.0   22.1   21.8    1.1   63.8   62.8   19.6   20.4   22.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    45    55   100   27.5   27.2   28.5    1.9   67.4   70.4   24.8   26.1   27.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    27    73   100   27.5   27.5   28.4    2.1   75.5   72.1   24.7   25.8   26.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    33    67   100   27.3   28.0   28.6    2.2   76.0   72.8   24.3   25.8   27.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    45    55   100   26.6   26.3   26.7    1.6   66.0   68.0   24.1   25.3   26.3   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    40    60   100   27.7   28.0   27.4    2.0   71.3   71.7   25.2   26.5   27.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    41    59   100   27.8   27.5   24.5    1.6   69.4   68.0   24.5   26.6   27.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    31    69   100   27.5   28.2   28.3    2.3   77.6   75.0   25.0   25.9   27.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    44    56   100   28.5   28.5   26.9    1.8   68.9   70.7   26.1   27.4   28.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    45    55   100   22.0   21.8   23.5    1.3   65.4   65.1   19.2   20.5   21.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    21    79   100   27.5   28.5   29.7    2.7   80.8   77.7   24.8   25.6   26.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------