***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.05.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.05.2018.-27.05.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    88    12   100   24.6   25.6   23.9    1.0   68.3   66.4   22.9   24.3   25.4   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    87    13   100   25.1   25.6   24.1    1.0   70.1   66.2   23.5   24.9   25.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    88    12   100   24.8   25.6   23.8    0.9   66.6   64.8   23.2   24.6   25.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    92     8   100   17.4   18.1   19.9    0.4   61.2   58.9   15.6   17.3   18.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    89    11   100   24.7   25.7   21.7    0.9   66.0   64.1   23.2   24.4   25.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    90    10   100   23.0   23.4   18.5    0.3   60.0   57.6   21.6   22.9   23.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    46    54   100   25.1   25.1   23.9    0.9   69.1   64.9   23.0   24.6   25.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    87    13   100   12.8   13.1   18.9    0.4   62.9   60.1   10.9   12.6   13.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    88    12   100   23.9   25.3   22.7    1.0   66.6   65.5   22.2   23.6   25.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    87    13   100   24.0   24.4   20.3    0.7   63.4   61.9   22.4   23.8   24.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    89    11   100   24.1   25.3   21.7    0.7   65.1   62.3   22.6   23.9   25.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    87    13   100   23.0   23.8   20.1    0.7   65.5   62.4   21.9   22.7   23.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    87    13   100   24.2   24.8   21.0    0.7   64.8   62.0   22.7   23.9   24.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    45    55   100   25.5   25.6   22.4    0.8   68.4   63.4   23.0   24.5   25.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    90    10   100   25.1   25.6   22.5    0.4   60.1   58.2   22.9   24.9   25.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    89    11   100   24.5   25.4   20.9    0.6   64.0   60.9   23.5   24.2   25.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    39    61   100   24.9   24.9   24.1    1.3   72.4   69.3   23.1   24.5   24.7   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    86    14   100   23.3   24.3   19.3    0.5   64.5   60.9   22.2   23.0   24.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    44    56   100   25.2   25.4   24.2    1.2   72.1   68.1   23.1   24.5   25.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    87    13   100   18.7   19.5   17.0    0.4   64.0   60.2   16.9   18.3   19.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    88    12   100   24.3   25.2   23.5    0.9   66.7   64.3   23.1   24.1   25.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    33    67   100   25.7   25.7   24.1    1.4   73.8   70.1   23.6   24.7   25.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    32    68   100   25.8   26.2   24.5    1.7   76.0   71.9   23.3   24.7   25.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    48    52   100   24.6   25.0   22.1    0.8   67.4   63.2   22.1   23.8   24.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    88    12   100   24.4   25.2   22.5    0.8   65.8   64.5   23.2   24.1   25.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    43    57   100   24.1   24.0   19.3    0.8   67.4   64.6   22.5   23.3   24.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    87    13   100   24.4   24.9   23.2    0.9   66.1   64.7   23.2   24.2   24.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    91     9   100   25.0   25.5   20.8    0.3   59.6   57.4   23.0   24.8   25.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    87    13   100   18.9   19.1   18.6    0.5   63.7   60.3   16.8   18.6   19.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    87    13   100   25.0   25.4   24.0    0.9   68.4   65.4   23.2   24.8   25.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------