***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.05.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 04.06.2012.-10.06.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    55    45     0   100 9999.0    0.0   15.4  116.3   70.8   51.5 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   24.2   25.8   15.4  100.0   64.6   52.1   13.9   22.2   26.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00    58    42     0   100    8.7   30.3   15.2  108.7   66.6   49.3    8.4   17.4   29.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    56    44     0   100    8.6   33.7   18.6  114.2   68.8   48.6    8.7   15.4   27.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    60    40     0   100    6.4   23.1   17.8  109.2   67.6   48.6    8.1   13.7   22.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    53    47     0   100    8.6   17.4   23.2   98.1   62.6   50.2   10.1   14.7   18.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100   16.3   21.1   15.6  101.6   62.0   53.6    9.0   12.8   25.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   29.1   27.7   17.9   97.5   61.1   50.8   15.7   24.3   30.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    60    40     0   100    9.4   22.8   16.9  106.9   63.6   48.8   10.9   17.7   23.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    54    46     0   100    7.2   21.2   18.7  100.8   62.0   50.1    6.7   11.8   23.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    57    43     0   100    8.1   22.3   15.8  101.5   65.7   49.2    7.1   16.6   22.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    53    47     0   100    4.9   14.2   14.6   97.9   61.2   50.4    5.6   10.3   14.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100    5.7   16.5   18.3   94.2   58.1   48.5    4.6    9.8   18.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   24.2   27.8   18.6   98.3   63.2   51.1   13.4   18.9   31.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100   14.5   17.1   16.1  112.0   68.5   49.7    2.5   11.4   16.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100    3.4   12.4   17.5  101.4   63.7   49.3    4.9    6.4   14.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100   21.4   23.2   14.8  100.2   62.2   54.3   10.1   17.8   25.4   29   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100   12.5   19.5   20.9  101.6   61.5   52.2   10.9   18.0   21.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   21.5   23.9   15.1   99.1   65.7   50.8   12.6   18.8   24.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100   19.4   19.5   23.0   97.5   57.6   52.1    6.5   15.9   20.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    61    39     0   100    6.5   28.5   15.2  111.9   67.3   48.5    7.5   15.2   28.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    53    47     0   100   10.8   25.5   14.4   97.3   67.0   52.7   11.4   17.9   24.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   19.9   21.2   15.1   96.6   64.2   49.1   11.8   18.8   21.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    53    47     0   100   14.6   24.2   18.2  101.7   63.0   50.7   13.1   20.8   25.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    59    41     0   100    8.8   28.8   19.1  115.6   68.8   51.1    9.8   17.2   28.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    60    40     0   100    4.7   13.7   15.4   88.2   53.4   47.2    5.2   11.6   18.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    53    47     0   100    8.6   30.4   17.9  114.4   67.7   52.8    5.7   17.2   29.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    53    47     0   100    4.5   16.9   17.9  113.7   69.5   48.8    5.4    8.2   16.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    75    25   100   24.6   25.1   21.2  101.0   62.4   52.8   14.3   21.3   26.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100   21.1   25.0   15.5  103.7   64.9   51.2   13.4   18.5   25.4   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------