***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.05.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.05.2012.-17.06.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    80    20   100 9999.0    0.0   15.1    0.0   51.3   51.7 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    83    17   100   13.3   13.3   15.4    0.3   59.4   57.5   12.4   13.0   13.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100   14.8   14.7   14.9    0.0   52.8   51.2   14.1   14.5   15.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100   10.1    9.9   12.9   -0.2   50.3   47.3    9.0    9.9   10.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    79    21   100   11.9   11.6   12.8   -0.2   50.4   47.5   11.1   11.6   12.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    81    19   100   10.7   10.6   10.8   -0.2   47.8   46.3   10.3   10.6   11.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    83    17   100   13.4   13.5   15.4    0.3   58.7   56.8   12.7   13.2   13.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    80    20   100    5.6    5.5   10.8   -0.1   52.1   48.9    4.9    5.5    5.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   13.0   12.8   13.2   -0.1   49.5   49.6   12.3   12.8   13.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    80    20   100   12.8   12.7   11.6   -0.1   52.0   50.1   12.0   12.7   13.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   12.6   12.5   12.2   -0.2   50.0   47.5   11.9   12.5   12.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    78    22   100   10.6   10.4   11.6   -0.2   48.7   46.4   10.1   10.4   10.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    77    23   100   12.1   11.8   11.2   -0.3   47.2   44.7   11.4   11.9   12.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   13.4   13.3   13.2   -0.1   51.8   50.0   12.8   13.2   13.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    81    19   100   13.6   13.4   13.8   -0.1   53.3   49.3   13.2   13.4   13.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100   13.0   12.6   11.9   -0.2   48.3   45.6   12.1   12.8   13.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    82    18   100   13.5   13.8   15.3    0.5   66.1   61.6   13.0   13.3   13.8   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100   11.5   11.3   11.0    0.0   51.1   50.2   10.6   11.3   11.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    83    17   100   13.3   13.3   15.3    0.2   57.6   56.1   12.6   13.1   13.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100    7.4    7.2    9.0   -0.1   50.1   49.4    6.8    7.2    7.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    78    22   100   12.9   12.6   14.2   -0.1   49.7   48.7   12.3   12.6   13.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    83    17   100   12.7   12.9   15.2    0.5   63.2   60.7   12.3   12.5   13.0   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    82    18   100   12.9   13.0   14.8    0.1   55.4   53.5   12.4   12.8   13.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   12.9   12.8   12.9    0.0   51.8   50.0   12.4   12.8   13.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    81    19   100   13.2   13.0   13.7    0.0   51.4   50.4   12.2   13.0   13.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    54    46     0   100   10.9   11.2   11.2   -0.3   44.1   43.1   10.9   11.4   12.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    81    19   100   13.2   13.0   14.4    0.0   51.5   51.6   12.3   12.9   13.5   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    80    20   100   11.9   11.7   13.2   -0.2   49.1   46.6   11.2   11.7   12.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100    9.7    9.6   10.2   -0.1   49.5   49.8    8.9    9.6   10.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    83    17   100   13.4   13.7   15.4    0.2   56.9   55.0   12.7   13.2   13.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


------------------------------
ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju
------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7 na severu i u centralnoj, na jugu 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------