***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 11.05.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 22.05.2017.-28.05.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    35    65   100   14.9   15.6   22.5  134.6   73.6   60.9    7.5   11.1   13.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100    9.2   15.0   18.8  124.3   68.9   58.3    4.4    5.3   13.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   10.1   18.6   20.9  127.3   71.0   60.2    3.7    6.8   11.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    54    46     0   100    6.2   20.8   21.9  119.0   68.8   55.0    5.8    9.5   19.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    52    48     0   100    8.5   16.2   20.8  114.4   67.9   55.4    6.8   12.2   16.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    5.9   15.2   21.8  104.4   60.9   52.5    5.8   11.7   16.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100   11.6   15.1   19.4  127.9   70.5   58.2    4.3    8.8   13.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100   12.1   27.3   21.3  111.4   62.3   53.5   11.8   16.7   28.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    76    24   100   10.4   14.7   21.3  115.8   67.8   55.1    5.1    8.2   14.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   18.7   19.2   22.4  113.1   64.0   54.0    7.8   15.3   20.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    54    46     0   100    5.9   13.9   21.0  111.6   64.1   53.6    5.8    8.9   14.8   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    52    48     0   100    6.2   16.4   19.8  111.0   64.3   54.0    4.0   11.8   16.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    63    37     0   100    3.7   10.3   19.2  100.4   59.5   49.6    4.4    8.5   11.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    34    66   100   22.0   26.2   27.6  138.1   73.7   60.9    8.0   12.7   23.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    78    22   100    9.6   15.5   21.0  128.3   72.2   57.7    5.3    7.4   13.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    58    42     0   100    3.7   15.5   20.3  109.7   64.2   52.8    4.1    6.1   16.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01    53    47     0   100    3.3   11.6   18.4  123.3   68.6   56.8    2.4    6.3   11.2   29   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100    7.4   19.4   24.9  117.5   67.1   55.7    4.4   12.7   19.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    36    64   100   19.0   14.5   19.2  126.0   69.5   59.7    4.6    9.6   14.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    7.1   16.6   22.9  108.5   63.3   52.3    6.9   12.7   17.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100    8.9   11.3   21.1  123.7   70.6   57.4    5.5    7.7   10.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    35    65   100   17.8   11.3   18.5  125.3   69.6   58.4    6.5    9.0   11.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    32    68   100   14.3   16.0   20.9  131.7   71.2   61.0    4.2    7.4   12.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   13.8   18.7   24.0  124.0   69.6   57.8    4.9   10.1   16.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    76    24   100    9.6   12.0   24.5  132.1   71.7   60.3    4.2    7.4   11.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   15.3   19.5   20.7  112.8   65.6   55.5    5.1   12.6   19.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    34    66   100   14.3   15.2   25.1  138.8   74.7   61.7    6.1   10.6   13.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    75    25   100   13.3   17.7   20.6  118.9   68.7   55.1    5.2   11.6   17.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100   21.6   22.7   26.0  119.1   67.8   54.8   12.7   16.3   22.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100    9.6   15.0   20.1  130.0   71.6   60.0    4.4    7.6   11.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------