***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.05.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 26.05.2014.-01.06.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    57    43     0   100    4.1   13.8   14.9   96.6   67.1   48.8    5.8    8.6   13.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100   12.8   11.4   16.1   99.8   61.7   51.1    3.0    7.8   17.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00    57    43     0   100    6.6   19.2   16.0  103.9   66.9   50.7    5.4   11.9   18.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100   18.8   23.3   20.6  115.8   68.5   55.5    9.9   15.9   22.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    75    25   100   11.9   13.9   18.8  106.5   69.4   54.1    6.7   10.1   13.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    53    47     0   100    9.3   23.6   28.3  134.7   75.2   59.5   10.8   14.4   17.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100    8.6    8.5   15.9   97.8   60.8   50.9    3.0    4.6    9.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100   15.7   39.2   22.7  122.7   71.7   57.8   14.9   24.1   36.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100    7.2   17.9   18.7  102.7   67.5   52.5    8.6   12.8   17.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    8.1   19.5   23.6  115.8   69.5   55.3    7.8   12.5   18.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100    6.2   17.5   17.0  110.6   71.3   54.3    8.0   11.0   16.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    52    48     0   100    8.1   20.6   17.7  127.0   74.8   57.8    9.0   12.9   17.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    51    49     0   100    7.3   20.7   21.9  135.2   75.7   59.2    6.2   12.4   17.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    52    48     0   100    9.1   31.0   23.4  122.3   70.3   55.1   11.3   15.6   26.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    52    48     0   100    7.4   23.7   20.9  133.4   75.7   55.5    6.2   11.9   16.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    75    25   100   12.0   21.9   19.8  127.1   73.8   57.3    5.4    8.6   18.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100   10.3    9.8   16.4  100.3   61.8   50.8    3.9    8.3   10.8   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   19.6   21.0   29.7  129.2   70.6   57.7   13.2   17.0   19.2   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    79    21   100   11.2   11.4   16.2  104.4   62.9   51.0    2.1    7.6   12.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    79    21   100   15.9   20.0   30.4  126.1   66.7   58.5    9.4   13.3   19.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    52    48     0   100    6.6   15.2   16.4  102.5   69.6   51.8    5.7   10.4   14.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    78    22   100   14.2   13.1   16.4  103.7   62.2   52.0    5.8   10.8   14.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   11.8   15.0   17.2  113.2   66.0   51.7    3.9    7.8   15.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    53    47     0   100   11.3   24.1   24.1  123.1   71.6   54.7   11.4   19.5   23.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    51    49     0   100    7.2   18.4   20.5  106.0   67.7   53.1    5.8   11.2   18.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100   12.1   21.0   18.4  139.7   75.4   59.8    6.8    9.4   18.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    52    48     0   100    3.8   13.2   18.7  102.2   67.3   51.5    4.8    7.6   11.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100   15.9   18.8   20.7  127.4   73.4   56.2    9.6   14.8   17.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   26.5   29.3   29.2  126.4   69.7   58.1   15.5   24.0   29.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100   11.9   10.7   15.5   97.4   62.8   50.6    5.6    8.4   13.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------