***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.05.2014. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 02.06.2014.-08.06.2014.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100   13.7   13.3   15.6    0.0   48.8   50.1   12.7   13.4   13.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    80    20   100   13.7   13.2   15.6    0.0   49.0   51.3   12.6   13.3   14.3   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100   15.0   14.5   15.3   -0.1   46.8   49.1   14.0   14.6   16.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    75    25   100   10.5    9.4   13.3   -0.4   41.8   44.0    9.1   10.0   10.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    80    20   100   12.3   12.0   13.2   -0.3   43.8   46.5   11.1   12.1   12.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    78    22   100   11.2   10.8   11.4   -0.3   46.9   47.3   10.1   10.9   11.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100   13.7   13.3   15.7    0.1   50.3   51.9   12.9   13.3   14.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    80    20   100    5.6    5.3   11.3   -0.2   47.9   49.0    4.8    5.3    6.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    83    17   100   13.1   12.5   13.5   -0.2   44.8   48.3   12.2   12.9   13.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    82    18   100   13.0   12.7   11.9   -0.2   47.9   49.0   12.5   12.7   13.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    81    19   100   12.8   12.4   12.7   -0.2   45.0   47.1   11.9   12.5   13.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100   10.9   10.4   12.2   -0.3   44.0   45.8   10.3   10.6   11.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    78    22   100   12.6   12.2   11.7   -0.5   42.2   42.7   11.8   12.2   12.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    82    18   100   13.8   13.2   13.5   -0.2   43.2   47.3   12.7   13.5   14.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100   13.9   13.3   13.7   -0.5   41.3   41.8   13.0   13.5   14.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    78    22   100   13.3   12.6   12.4   -0.4   43.5   44.3   12.3   12.8   13.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    82    18   100   13.7   13.5   15.5    0.1   50.9   53.2   13.1   13.4   14.7   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100   12.2   11.8   11.2   -0.2   48.9   47.9   10.7   11.9   12.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100   13.7   13.3   15.5    0.0   47.6   50.5   12.7   13.4   14.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100    7.8    7.5    9.5   -0.2   50.7   48.3    6.3    7.5    8.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    80    20   100   13.2   12.7   14.6   -0.2   43.3   48.5   12.3   12.9   13.7   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    82    18   100   13.3   13.0   15.3    0.0   49.5   51.7   12.5   13.0   14.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    83    17   100   13.2   12.5   15.1   -0.1   45.4   49.0   12.1   12.8   14.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    80    20   100   13.2   12.6   13.3   -0.2   45.8   48.0   12.3   12.8   13.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    78    22   100   13.7   13.0   13.9   -0.2   45.1   47.3   12.2   13.4   14.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100   12.1   11.4   11.8   -0.6   39.8   42.1   11.2   11.8   12.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100   13.5   13.0   14.8    0.0   47.9   49.5   12.2   13.0   13.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    51    49     0   100   11.2   11.6   13.5   -0.5   41.8   42.4   11.3   12.0   12.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100   10.3    9.9   10.6   -0.2   48.9   48.3    9.4   10.0   10.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100   14.0   13.6   15.7    0.0   49.0   50.7   13.0   13.6   14.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------