***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 05.05.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 09.05.2016.-15.05.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    46    54   100   11.7   12.1   13.1    1.2   68.4   67.1    9.4   10.4   11.9   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    89    11   100   11.4   11.8   12.7    1.0   62.4   63.3    9.7   11.3   11.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    89    11   100   13.0   13.5   13.0    0.9   61.4   63.1   11.1   12.9   13.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    91     9   100    7.9    8.7   10.0    0.6   60.3   58.9    6.5    7.7    9.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    88    12   100    9.1    9.7   11.0    0.8   63.7   62.9    8.6    8.8   10.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    88    12   100    8.2    8.3    7.9    0.4   59.8   57.3    7.3    8.0    9.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    89    11   100   11.2   12.0   12.8    1.1   65.4   64.3    9.6   11.0   12.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    89    11   100    3.5    3.8    8.1    0.6   60.1   59.8    2.1    3.4    4.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    89    11   100   10.0   10.8   11.0    0.7   63.0   62.6    9.3    9.7   11.0   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    89    11   100   10.2   10.3    9.2    0.6   61.6   60.8    9.1   10.0   10.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    88    12   100    9.5   10.0   10.3    0.6   61.7   60.1    8.7    9.3   10.2   29   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    88    12   100    8.3    8.5    9.2    0.7   61.4   61.4    7.3    8.1    9.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    87    13   100    9.4   10.1    9.3    0.7   63.8   62.3    8.6    9.2   10.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    90    10   100   10.6   10.8   10.8    0.7   59.3   61.6    9.4   10.4   11.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    87    13   100   10.9   11.1   11.5    0.6   62.8   60.8   10.0   10.6   11.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    88    12   100   10.4   10.9    9.9    0.7   63.7   62.9    9.3   10.1   11.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    91     9   100   11.1   12.0   12.4    1.0   61.2   62.8   10.0   11.0   12.1   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    90    10   100    8.4    8.9    8.7    0.6   59.1   60.9    7.4    8.3    9.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    91     9   100   11.0   11.3   12.6    0.9   60.8   61.9    9.6   10.8   12.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    88    12   100    4.6    5.3    6.9    0.8   64.8   63.4    4.1    4.4    5.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    89    11   100   10.1   10.6   12.4    0.7   62.5   62.5    9.1    9.9   10.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    92     8   100   10.4   10.8   12.4    0.8   58.1   60.4    9.6   10.3   11.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    92     8   100   10.7   11.2   12.4    0.8   61.8   61.8    9.7   10.6   11.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    90    10   100   10.1   10.5   10.8    0.6   57.9   60.3    8.8    9.9   11.5   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    47    53   100   10.8   11.1   12.3    1.1   68.2   65.2    9.6    9.9   11.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    87    13   100    9.6    9.8    8.5    0.7   61.8   62.4    8.2    9.4   10.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    47    53   100   12.4   12.4   12.8    1.3   68.9   67.1    9.1   11.3   11.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    88    12   100    9.2    9.3   10.4    0.6   59.9   59.4    8.2    9.0    9.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    89    11   100    8.0    8.4    7.9    0.7   60.9   61.7    6.0    7.8    8.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    89    11   100   11.1   12.1   12.9    1.1   64.3   64.0    9.8   10.8   12.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------