***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 04.05.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 29.05.2017.-04.06.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100   24.8   24.7   24.5    0.7   57.7   56.0   22.6   24.3   26.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   25.2   25.5   24.6    0.9   61.5   57.6   23.1   24.6   26.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    77    23   100   25.3   25.1   24.7    0.7   56.7   55.9   22.7   24.7   26.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100   17.9   17.8   22.5    0.8   59.5   57.0   15.8   17.5   18.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    78    22   100   25.4   25.6   22.8    0.7   59.0   55.3   23.4   24.9   26.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100   23.7   24.2   20.5    0.7   59.5   55.3   22.0   23.2   24.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100   24.9   25.4   24.6    0.9   62.1   57.7   22.6   24.2   25.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100   13.4   13.3   21.0    0.6   59.0   54.4   10.7   12.9   14.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    76    24   100   24.5   25.3   23.1    0.7   59.8   55.3   22.5   23.7   25.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   24.5   24.9   21.8    0.6   59.5   54.9   22.6   23.9   25.5   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100   25.2   25.0   22.6    0.7   60.9   55.8   22.7   24.7   25.7   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100   24.2   24.3   22.1    0.7   61.0   55.7   22.1   23.8   24.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    75    25   100   25.1   25.3   21.4    0.7   59.7   55.5   23.5   24.6   25.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   24.8   24.2   22.6    0.5   53.9   53.7   23.3   24.1   26.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100   25.9   26.0   23.7    1.1   64.5   59.9   23.5   25.6   26.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   26.0   25.8   22.2    0.8   60.7   56.3   23.5   25.5   26.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    76    24   100   24.6   25.5   24.5    0.9   63.0   58.1   22.3   23.9   26.1   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100   24.0   23.7   21.2    0.6   56.8   54.4   22.3   23.4   24.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   24.8   25.0   24.7    0.9   60.5   57.3   22.6   24.0   25.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    51    49     0   100   17.2   19.1   18.5    0.3   54.1   52.7   17.1   18.9   20.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100   25.0   25.0   23.9    0.6   56.9   54.5   22.8   24.3   26.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100   25.0   25.6   24.2    0.8   59.5   56.7   22.9   24.1   26.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    51    49     0   100   22.8   25.1   24.6    0.8   59.3   56.9   23.0   24.4   26.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100   24.4   24.2   22.7    0.6   56.4   54.6   22.4   23.6   25.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100   24.8   25.2   22.8    0.6   56.7   55.0   22.8   24.2   26.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    78    22   100   24.8   25.7   22.0    1.4   68.1   61.7   22.8   24.4   25.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100   24.6   24.5   23.7    0.7   57.3   56.0   23.1   23.9   25.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100   26.1   26.2   22.9    1.0   62.6   58.0   23.6   25.9   26.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    75    25   100   19.1   19.0   20.2    0.4   54.7   53.2   17.6   18.2   19.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100   25.0   25.3   24.6    0.8   58.9   56.8   23.0   24.3   26.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------