***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.05.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 13.05.2013.-19.05.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    30    70   100 9999.0    0.0   12.8    0.6   62.2   61.6 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    51    49     0   100   10.8   12.1   12.4    0.4   57.0   57.9   10.0   11.9   12.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    30    70   100   14.6   14.1   12.5    0.6   62.9   61.5   12.2   13.6   14.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    35    65   100   10.1    9.1   10.5    0.4   56.3   58.5    7.1    8.6    9.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    36    64   100   11.0   10.6   10.4    0.4   60.0   59.0    8.9    9.7   10.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    8.0    9.6    8.4    0.3   56.9   57.6    8.1    9.1    9.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100   11.9   11.8   12.4    0.3   55.3   57.6   10.2   11.5   12.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    36    64   100    5.2    4.6    8.4    0.3   61.1   58.6    2.9    4.2    4.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    32    68   100   12.0   11.5   10.8    0.4   61.5   59.8   10.1   11.0   11.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    32    68   100   11.8   11.5    9.2    0.3   60.7   58.7    9.8   11.0   11.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    36    64   100   11.5   10.9    9.8    0.4   61.9   59.5    9.5   10.6   10.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    37    63   100    9.9    9.4    9.3    0.4   63.1   59.5    7.5    8.9    9.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    35    65   100   11.2   10.7    8.7    0.3   61.4   58.1    9.1   10.1   11.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    76    24   100   11.9   11.7   10.6    0.3   54.2   57.7   10.8   11.6   12.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    37    63   100   12.1   11.2   11.0    0.4   56.1   58.8   10.5   11.1   11.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    36    64   100   12.4   11.6    9.4    0.3   57.8   58.7   10.0   11.2   11.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    75    25   100   12.1   11.9   12.0    0.2   53.0   54.6   10.5   11.6   12.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    33    67   100   10.0    9.5    8.4    0.3   56.1   58.0    8.1    8.9    9.8   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    36    64   100   12.8   12.6   12.4    0.5   59.9   59.6   10.3   11.7   13.1   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    75    25   100    5.5    5.6    6.7    0.2   55.4   56.5    4.2    5.2    5.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    32    68   100   12.0   11.3   11.9    0.5   62.1   60.8    9.9   10.8   11.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    75    25   100   11.1   11.3   11.9    0.2   55.3   55.4    9.9   10.6   11.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    33    67   100   12.3   11.9   12.2    0.6   63.5   61.2   10.3   11.0   12.2   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    33    67   100   11.5   11.3   10.4    0.4   58.6   59.6    9.9   10.6   11.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    34    66   100   12.3   11.8   11.3    0.5   61.7   60.7   10.0   10.8   12.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100   10.5   10.8    8.8    0.3   61.5   57.6    8.5   10.2   11.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    35    65   100   13.0   12.3   12.0    0.5   60.7   60.6   11.0   11.5   12.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    52    48     0   100    8.7    9.8   10.6    0.3   55.3   57.9    8.6    9.4   10.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    36    64   100    9.2    8.5    7.7    0.3   56.3   57.6    7.4    8.2    9.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    34    66   100   12.7   12.5   12.6    0.5   60.1   59.6   10.5   11.7   12.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------