***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 30.04.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.05.2020.-17.05.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100   11.3   11.8   13.1    1.2   70.5   62.2   10.0   11.0   11.4   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   11.6   12.0   12.3    0.7   62.1   56.8   10.4   11.3   12.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    80    20   100   13.1   14.4   13.0    1.1   70.4   61.4   11.9   12.7   14.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    39    61   100    9.3    9.9   10.5    1.3   74.4   65.0    7.0    7.8    9.5   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    41    59   100   10.3   10.7   11.1    1.3   75.2   66.0    9.1    9.8   10.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    29    71   100    9.5   10.3    9.0    1.8   84.0   74.8    8.0    8.7    9.4   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    80    20   100   11.4   11.6   12.4    0.8   62.5   57.2   10.0   11.1   11.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    35    65   100    4.9    5.5    8.4    1.2   74.0   66.3    2.9    3.6    4.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    38    62   100   11.6   12.1   10.9    1.1   72.2   64.4    9.8   10.5   12.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    34    66   100   11.1   11.2    9.2    1.2   73.4   65.6    9.9   10.5   11.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   10.3   11.5   10.3    1.1   73.5   65.1    9.5    9.9   10.9   29   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    35    65   100    9.5   10.0    9.5    1.3   75.8   67.5    7.7    8.4    9.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    35    65   100   10.8   11.5    9.6    1.5   80.2   70.8    9.0    9.8   10.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    77    23   100   11.4   12.1   10.5    0.9   69.7   60.1    9.9   11.1   12.0   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    34    66   100   11.9   12.5   12.1    1.5   80.2   67.3   10.5   10.7   11.9   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100   11.8   12.2   10.1    1.4   78.0   68.3   10.2   11.0   11.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   11.6   11.8   11.9    0.5   58.2   54.5   10.3   11.2   12.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    35    65   100    9.5    9.6    8.7    1.3   73.7   65.5    8.0    8.8    9.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    51    49     0   100   10.4   11.5   12.3    0.7   62.2   56.9   10.2   11.0   12.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    30    70   100    5.8    6.1    7.0    1.5   77.7   69.9    4.2    5.0    5.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    39    61   100   11.3   11.5   12.2    1.1   71.3   63.4    9.8   10.6   11.2   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    77    23   100   10.7   10.6   11.8    0.5   57.2   54.5    9.9   10.2   11.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    53    47     0   100    9.9   11.6   12.2    0.7   63.7   57.2   10.0   10.8   11.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    77    23   100   10.8   11.4   10.6    1.1   72.6   62.7    9.6   10.5   11.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    78    22   100   11.1   11.7   12.0    1.2   70.0   62.8   10.1   10.9   11.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    27    73   100   10.9   11.6    9.4    1.9   82.6   74.1    8.8    9.8   10.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    78    22   100   11.5   12.2   12.7    1.3   71.1   63.0   10.7   11.1   11.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    35    65   100   10.2   10.9   11.2    1.6   79.7   68.3    8.6    9.2   10.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    33    67   100    8.9    8.8    7.9    1.1   71.4   64.8    7.2    7.6    8.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100   11.4   11.7   12.7    0.8   65.3   58.7   10.2   11.0   11.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------