***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 23.04.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.05.2020.-17.05.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    53    47     0   100    2.6   11.9   17.0  102.6   60.9   49.4    2.9    4.7   12.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    75    25   100    8.4    9.9   15.2  101.4   60.9   50.7    2.5    5.6   11.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    77    23   100   10.7   10.2   16.6  100.6   60.5   48.8    2.7    6.3   19.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    60    40     0   100    4.9   15.8   17.3   89.3   56.3   43.0    4.0   10.6   21.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    54    46     0   100    3.4    9.5   17.2   92.8   59.2   44.5    3.7    7.1   12.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    60    40     0   100    3.8    9.6   17.4   85.6   52.4   41.5    6.0    9.0   12.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100    6.8    6.1   15.2  102.6   59.1   50.9    2.3    4.1    8.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100   11.2   18.8   17.0   84.1   52.9   43.5   10.1   18.8   21.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    57    43     0   100    3.7   11.6   18.0   94.0   60.1   45.3    2.9    8.6   14.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    53    47     0   100    5.3   11.2   18.6   86.1   53.6   43.9    6.9   10.0   16.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    55    45     0   100    2.8    5.7   15.5   90.4   58.1   43.7    3.7    5.0    8.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    59    41     0   100    4.1   11.0   14.5   84.7   55.2   42.6    4.8    8.3   11.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    61    39     0   100    2.2    5.1   15.7   82.3   51.0   40.7    3.2    5.0    8.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    76    24   100   17.4   15.2   20.1   86.5   53.8   44.8    3.3   15.0   18.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    57    43     0   100    3.2    9.2   16.1   90.8   58.5   43.9    2.7    7.0   10.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    59    41     0   100    4.0    9.2   15.2   83.0   54.5   40.4    4.5    7.9   12.3   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    78    22   100    9.4   10.1   15.0  104.4   59.8   51.0    2.3    5.8   12.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100    7.3   13.0   19.3   80.8   49.4   42.8   10.2   13.1   18.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    52    48     0   100    6.1   15.8   15.5   98.1   60.0   49.5    2.3   12.3   17.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    53    47     0   100    5.6    8.1   19.1   83.5   50.7   44.1    5.7    8.0   12.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    56    44     0   100    3.5   12.5   17.5   99.9   62.5   46.7    2.4    7.7   13.9   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    75    25   100   11.4   11.2   15.9   97.7   57.6   48.6    2.9    7.9   13.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100    9.4   12.3   15.9   92.8   58.1   47.4    3.0    6.1   15.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    75    25   100   13.6   12.3   18.3   87.8   55.1   44.7    6.0   10.3   18.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    56    44     0   100    4.0   12.4   19.0  101.3   58.7   47.4    4.1    8.5   16.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    51    49     0   100    3.5    7.7   15.6   88.1   52.5   44.1    3.0    6.8   17.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    75    25   100   10.8   10.6   18.4  104.0   59.7   49.6    2.5    8.5   12.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    60    40     0   100    2.4    6.3   16.2   84.2   54.5   42.1    3.7    5.6   11.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    52    48     0   100   11.2   19.9   19.1   80.3   48.5   42.5   10.9   20.0   23.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    76    24   100    9.7    7.7   15.6   99.4   58.7   50.0    3.1    6.1   11.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------