***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.04.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.05.2016.-22.05.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    75    25   100   23.9   23.9   22.5    0.5   54.5   54.7   22.2   23.0   26.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    77    23   100   25.4   25.4   22.4    0.5   55.2   55.1   22.6   24.9   25.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    77    23   100   25.3   25.2   22.8    0.5   53.5   54.8   22.1   24.7   26.1   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    79    21   100   17.9   18.7   20.5    0.6   54.6   55.6   14.3   17.2   19.4   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    80    20   100   25.1   25.5   21.1    0.6   55.2   56.0   22.1   24.4   26.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   23.4   23.6   18.9    0.7   56.0   56.6   21.4   22.7   24.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100   24.8   24.7   22.4    0.5   56.1   55.7   22.6   24.3   25.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    82    18   100   12.9   13.5   19.5    0.8   56.2   58.2   10.9   12.4   14.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    80    20   100   24.7   24.9   21.3    0.7   55.0   56.0   21.9   24.1   25.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    82    18   100   24.3   25.1   20.1    0.8   55.0   57.3   22.3   23.7   26.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    80    20   100   24.5   25.2   20.9    0.8   55.7   57.3   22.5   23.9   26.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    82    18   100   23.6   23.9   20.5    0.8   56.3   58.2   21.5   23.1   24.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100   24.8   25.1   19.7    0.8   56.4   56.9   22.8   24.2   26.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   25.2   25.1   21.0    0.6   53.5   55.9   22.0   24.8   26.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    78    22   100   25.0   25.1   21.4    0.4   52.9   54.2   22.6   24.2   26.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    79    21   100   25.2   25.6   20.4    0.8   56.3   57.2   22.7   24.5   26.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    79    21   100   24.5   24.3   22.3    0.5   58.6   56.5   22.2   24.0   25.5   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    81    19   100   23.9   24.6   19.6    0.8   54.3   57.1   21.6   23.3   25.2   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   24.7   24.7   22.5    0.5   54.3   55.0   22.0   24.2   25.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    84    16   100   18.8   19.3   17.1    0.8   56.5   57.8   16.9   18.3   20.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100   24.8   25.0   22.2    0.6   54.2   54.9   22.0   24.2   26.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    79    21   100   25.1   25.1   22.1    0.5   58.7   56.2   22.6   24.7   25.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    79    21   100   25.0   24.8   22.5    0.5   53.5   55.6   22.6   24.5   26.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    79    21   100   24.5   24.3   21.0    0.7   54.0   56.1   21.8   24.0   25.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    79    21   100   24.7   25.0   20.9    0.4   54.7   53.8   21.9   24.1   26.0   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    82    18   100   24.1   24.6   19.8    1.0   60.4   58.9   22.3   23.7   25.3   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    77    23   100   24.8   24.9   21.7    0.4   55.0   54.4   22.2   24.2   25.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    79    21   100   24.7   24.9   20.9    0.6   54.4   55.8   22.0   23.8   27.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    82    18   100   19.1   19.2   18.7    0.7   55.1   56.9   16.5   18.6   20.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    77    23   100   24.8   24.9   22.5    0.5   54.3   54.9   22.2   24.2   26.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------