***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 06.04.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 10.04.2017.-07.05.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    51    49     0   100   37.2   44.4   60.2   90.0   46.4   44.1   38.5   48.4   54.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    51    49     0   100   32.0   46.9   55.6   93.5   53.0   46.5   31.9   45.8   51.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00    53    47     0   100   41.1   51.2   58.8   90.8   48.1   44.3   40.8   53.0   59.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    55    45     0   100   53.5   66.4   62.1   83.7   43.3   40.5   63.2   66.6   77.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    61    39     0   100   36.9   44.5   58.4   82.6   41.2   38.7   39.4   51.6   62.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    64    36     0   100   38.9   45.5   68.1   85.5   38.7   40.5   42.9   51.7   57.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    75    25   100   47.2   42.8   55.5   92.6   51.4   45.2   30.1   42.2   52.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    61    39     0   100   77.7   83.4   65.4   84.4   40.4   39.2   77.6   96.4  107.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    55    45     0   100   39.4   47.2   61.1   84.7   41.1   40.0   37.5   52.9   63.7   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    59    41     0   100   46.2   52.1   68.1   84.9   40.7   39.3   47.9   61.1   75.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    64    36     0   100   39.5   45.1   57.5   82.9   37.8   38.3   43.3   51.6   66.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    63    37     0   100   42.2   49.3   57.6   83.3   39.4   39.0   46.2   55.1   62.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    61    39     0   100   46.4   53.3   63.5   83.3   36.3   39.7   52.7   58.2   65.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    79    21   100   65.7   59.7   74.7   90.8   47.5   45.3   51.1   61.0   78.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    59    41     0   100   39.3   49.0   55.9   82.8   46.8   40.8   45.7   50.4   60.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    63    37     0   100   40.0   47.0   59.7   84.0   37.3   39.7   44.9   52.0   65.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   48.4   40.5   54.1   92.4   50.9   46.4   32.2   40.5   60.6   30   Palic                         
37000G16    52    48     0   100   50.3   58.7   75.7   89.3   43.5   41.7   50.5   64.4   77.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    77    23   100   53.5   51.2   57.3   93.6   51.5   46.5   35.3   49.9   58.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    59    41     0   100   44.7   48.2   77.2   88.3   40.7   41.3   45.6   55.1   60.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    58    42     0   100   33.7   45.8   57.8   84.9   42.7   41.4   40.7   46.7   57.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    78    22   100   45.9   42.4   57.6   94.2   50.2   47.5   34.4   42.3   52.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    80    20   100   50.9   45.1   60.2   93.1   48.6   45.8   34.3   46.6   56.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    75    25   100   66.5   58.5   69.4   90.9   47.4   43.9   46.9   60.8   76.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    64    36     0   100   36.6   49.2   64.2   85.7   43.9   42.1   43.4   51.2   66.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    62    38     0   100   38.8   49.1   58.4   80.7   36.3   37.5   47.4   54.0   55.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    57    43     0   100   35.7   41.6   64.1   89.6   46.8   44.1   36.8   43.4   66.9   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    57    43     0   100   36.9   47.8   58.9   83.1   42.8   40.3   39.6   52.0   64.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100   63.1   75.3   78.3   91.4   44.7   43.5   57.9   79.4   98.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    52    48     0   100   32.9   47.3   57.4   93.9   52.6   45.9   31.9   45.5   54.2   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------