***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 04.04.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 29.04.2019.-05.05.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100    4.2    3.7   15.1   82.1   51.9   43.6    1.2    2.4    8.4   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    57    43     0   100    2.0    4.6   13.1   81.0   49.9   42.2    1.4    4.6    6.7   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100    7.1    5.4   15.1   86.2   53.3   46.1    2.9    4.4    9.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    52    48     0   100    6.2   10.5   17.6   89.4   55.2   45.5    7.5    9.8   13.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    76    24   100    7.4    6.6   17.2   92.6   57.1   48.0    4.3    5.9    8.3   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    58    42     0   100    4.5   10.5   18.3   93.0   57.0   46.1    4.2    8.7   11.5   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    61    39     0   100    2.2    3.1   12.6   76.7   46.1   39.9    1.5    4.1    7.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    54    46     0   100   11.8   20.9   19.8  107.4   62.0   51.2   12.8   17.6   22.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100    8.6    7.6   17.6   90.9   55.1   47.4    5.2    6.4   12.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    51    49     0   100    6.6   13.3   20.2   98.3   57.1   49.0    3.7   11.3   16.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    3.2    7.7   16.6   97.4   57.1   48.5    3.7    6.1    8.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    58    42     0   100    3.9   12.4   16.4  101.7   60.9   48.8    3.7    7.1   15.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    58    42     0   100    4.4   10.6   17.5   94.7   58.4   46.1    6.1    8.0   12.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100    5.1   10.2   20.0   91.1   52.3   45.1    6.0    9.5   14.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    62    38     0   100    3.5    8.9   14.9   82.0   54.6   41.1    4.5    8.3   10.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    59    41     0   100    2.9    8.2   16.8   94.5   58.4   46.7    3.5    5.6    9.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01    64    36     0   100    1.7    3.6   12.9   80.7   50.5   41.0    1.6    3.6    4.8   30   Palic                         
37000G16    54    46     0   100    5.9   14.7   21.6   97.9   56.3   48.9    3.2   12.5   19.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    52    48     0   100    3.0    6.2   13.9   85.4   52.6   44.1    2.3    5.7    9.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    52    48     0   100    5.7   10.8   22.7  109.9   62.0   52.8    6.5    9.4   11.4   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    75    25   100    6.6    5.2   16.2   87.7   53.5   46.4    2.5    5.1    7.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    57    43     0   100    2.4    5.9   14.6   89.5   53.8   44.0    2.6    5.3    7.4   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    51    49     0   100    3.5    7.5   15.0   88.6   53.3   45.8    2.9    6.7   10.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    54    46     0   100    3.6    7.8   19.1   92.9   53.7   46.9    4.7    7.1   13.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100    3.9    8.5   17.0   83.6   53.7   43.6    1.4    7.8   10.8   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    61    39     0   100    2.9    9.2   17.4  104.0   62.7   48.1    3.3    7.3   10.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    51    49     0   100    3.0    6.4   16.1   82.4   52.7   43.1    2.6    5.9    9.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    58    42     0   100    3.0    6.9   16.9   88.5   56.3   44.7    4.1    5.8    8.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    56    44     0   100    9.3   19.6   21.9  103.0   59.2   50.5    9.1   18.0   21.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    55    45     0   100    2.1    4.9   13.7   82.2   51.6   43.1    1.3    4.3    6.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------