***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.04.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 27.04.2020.-03.05.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    34    66   100   23.3   23.9   20.4    1.9   73.9   66.1   20.5   21.6   23.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    36    64   100   23.5   24.1   20.4    2.0   76.3   67.8   20.4   21.8   23.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    39    61   100   23.1   24.1   20.7    1.9   73.3   66.2   20.2   21.4   23.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    77    23   100   14.6   16.1   17.9    1.4   67.7   61.9   12.6   14.0   16.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   21.7   23.4   18.4    1.3   64.8   60.7   20.0   21.1   23.5   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    75    25   100   20.8   21.0   16.1    1.0   63.8   57.3   18.0   20.2   21.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    34    66   100   23.0   23.9   20.2    1.9   74.9   67.3   19.9   21.0   23.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    76    24   100    9.5   10.0   16.7    1.1   63.9   58.8    6.9    8.9   10.1   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    77    23   100   21.4   22.8   18.9    1.5   66.4   62.1   19.4   20.7   22.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   21.4   22.1   17.6    1.4   65.4   60.7   19.7   20.9   22.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    77    23   100   21.9   22.3   18.2    1.1   63.7   59.0   19.5   21.3   22.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100   20.8   21.3   17.7    1.0   64.1   58.1   18.6   20.1   21.6   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100   19.6   22.2   16.8    0.9   63.5   56.7   19.4   21.3   22.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    39    61   100   23.0   23.3   18.9    1.8   70.3   65.4   20.1   21.2   22.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100   21.9   23.2   19.0    1.6   70.6   63.5   19.9   21.5   23.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    76    24   100   22.5   22.9   17.6    1.1   63.7   58.2   19.7   22.0   23.1   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    33    67   100   22.9   23.5   20.1    2.0   74.6   67.7   19.5   21.1   22.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    77    23   100   20.8   22.2   17.2    1.5   65.6   61.6   18.9   20.1   22.2   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    35    65   100   22.9   23.7   20.5    2.0   76.2   67.7   19.7   21.4   23.3   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100   15.9   16.4   14.4    1.2   64.7   59.8   13.3   15.2   16.5   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100   21.9   23.4   19.8    1.6   67.9   63.3   19.8   21.3   23.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    30    70   100   23.3   23.8   20.1    2.1   74.4   68.6   20.4   21.3   23.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    35    65   100   23.2   24.0   20.6    2.0   75.3   67.0   20.1   21.4   23.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    38    62   100   22.6   22.9   18.8    1.8   69.1   64.3   19.5   20.8   22.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100   22.0   23.3   18.6    1.6   70.1   64.1   20.1   21.5   23.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    75    25   100   20.6   21.3   16.7    0.9   62.7   57.1   18.4   20.1   21.5   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    36    64   100   22.8   23.5   19.6    1.8   73.3   65.7   19.7   21.0   23.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100   22.0   23.0   18.2    1.4   67.5   61.4   19.9   21.6   22.9   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    78    22   100   15.7   16.9   16.2    1.4   64.1   60.8   13.4   15.0   16.9   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    35    65   100   23.1   23.8   20.4    2.0   76.0   67.7   19.5   21.7   23.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------