***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 02.04.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 20.04.2015.-26.04.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    54    46     0   100   18.0   19.3   18.4   -0.2   48.4   47.6   18.7   19.4   20.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    54    46     0   100   17.8   19.6   18.3   -0.1   47.7   48.7   18.4   19.6   20.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00    55    45     0   100   17.8   19.5   18.5   -0.2   46.3   47.8   18.5   19.6   20.3   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    53    47     0   100   10.4   11.8   16.9   -0.3   47.9   47.8   10.8   12.2   13.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100   18.3   19.4   17.1   -0.3   46.4   47.5   18.9   19.5   20.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   18.5   17.9   15.5   -0.1   51.6   50.8   17.1   17.9   18.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    55    45     0   100   17.6   19.3   18.2   -0.1   48.5   48.9   17.5   19.3   19.9   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100    8.1    7.0   15.6   -0.3   46.5   48.1    6.4    7.5    8.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    53    47     0   100   17.6   18.9   17.5   -0.3   45.1   47.5   18.4   18.9   19.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    76    24   100   19.5   18.7   16.3   -0.3   45.0   47.7   18.3   18.9   19.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100   19.9   18.8   16.7   -0.3   46.5   47.8   18.2   19.3   20.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    79    21   100   19.1   18.4   16.4   -0.3   47.1   48.5   17.7   18.5   20.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    80    20   100   19.7   19.0   16.0   -0.2   48.9   49.7   18.5   19.1   20.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100   18.1   19.6   17.2   -0.3   47.6   47.5   18.5   19.7   20.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100   17.4   18.8   17.2   -0.2   49.0   48.8   18.3   18.9   20.4   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   20.1   19.3   16.5   -0.2   48.3   48.8   19.0   19.3   20.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01    52    48     0   100   17.4   18.6   18.1    0.0   46.3   49.3   17.4   19.2   19.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    76    24   100   19.2   18.4   15.7   -0.3   45.1   47.5   17.7   18.5   19.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    54    46     0   100   17.8   19.3   18.4   -0.1   47.3   48.5   18.2   19.4   20.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    77    23   100   14.5   13.6   13.5   -0.4   46.0   47.4   12.9   13.8   14.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    54    46     0   100   17.9   19.3   18.1   -0.3   45.6   47.4   18.6   19.5   20.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    57    43     0   100   17.9   19.4   18.1   -0.1   45.7   49.0   18.1   19.7   20.8   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    52    48     0   100   18.1   19.5   18.3   -0.2   47.4   48.0   18.6   19.7   20.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    75    25   100   19.7   18.9   17.1   -0.3   46.1   47.5   18.2   19.1   19.9   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    56    44     0   100   17.5   19.3   17.0   -0.3   48.6   47.2   18.2   19.4   20.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    80    20   100   19.0   18.4   15.7   -0.2   49.5   49.6   17.8   18.5   20.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100   17.4   18.9   17.7   -0.2   49.0   47.6   17.8   18.9   20.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    52    48     0   100   17.6   18.9   17.1   -0.2   48.4   48.5   17.9   19.2   20.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    76    24   100   14.5   13.6   14.7   -0.3   45.5   47.5   13.0   13.8   14.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    54    46     0   100   17.6   19.2   18.4   -0.2   48.0   48.4   17.7   19.4   20.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------