***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 29.03.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 02.04.2018.-29.04.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    54    46     0   100   37.8   43.5   55.5   91.7   47.1   46.3   35.4   48.6   64.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    64    36     0   100   27.0   40.3   50.4   92.9   49.3   45.8   31.0   40.4   48.0   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    75    25   100   58.0   55.0   56.2   97.0   52.4   48.7   38.7   54.2   61.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    53    47     0   100   52.3   67.0   62.6   92.3   48.9   46.3   58.1   67.1   77.2   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    51    49     0   100   41.6   50.2   60.2   91.7   48.2   46.0   41.9   53.3   69.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    77    23   100   52.6   42.8   64.7   89.1   41.3   42.7   36.5   46.9   63.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    65    35     0   100   24.6   33.1   49.6   91.5   47.1   45.4   25.0   36.2   44.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    75    25   100   85.4   75.4   66.1   91.1   47.0   44.4   65.3   77.2   94.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    79    21   100   54.1   51.6   63.5   95.6   52.4   48.2   39.0   50.1   59.4   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    77    23   100   64.9   59.9   69.5   93.3   50.6   46.1   42.2   59.9   67.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100   55.4   49.4   60.2   91.6   48.3   45.8   42.4   49.6   63.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    51    49     0   100   40.5   50.5   60.5   92.6   47.9   46.1   35.4   51.7   61.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100   55.7   48.5   66.7   91.4   45.5   44.7   43.4   50.8   60.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    75    25   100   63.7   61.5   71.2   95.0   52.7   47.5   52.6   60.9   66.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    51    49     0   100   36.7   46.4   59.6   96.1   51.7   49.3   39.7   46.1   55.8   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100   58.2   53.8   61.8   90.9   45.9   45.1   47.3   54.9   65.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01    64    36     0   100   29.9   37.6   49.3   92.7   49.6   45.3   34.2   37.9   43.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100   56.3   52.1   74.0   93.8   50.8   45.8   44.4   51.9   63.5   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    62    38     0   100   30.4   41.0   51.8   93.8   49.8   46.4   32.3   41.2   52.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    76    24   100   55.8   43.9   74.4   88.2   43.0   41.4   39.9   50.3   63.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    76    24   100   49.1   45.4   59.1   95.0   52.1   47.8   39.2   44.2   54.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    59    41     0   100   30.7   43.6   51.5   92.4   49.2   45.8   37.0   43.8   49.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    59    41     0   100   32.6   43.4   54.6   94.5   51.0   47.0   36.8   42.7   52.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    78    22   100   59.5   56.7   67.6   96.7   54.1   48.0   47.2   55.7   68.1   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    53    47     0   100   40.3   55.4   61.3   88.5   45.0   44.5   40.9   56.9   64.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    52    48     0   100   36.2   45.4   60.9   90.3   47.3   44.4   37.6   46.5   51.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    55    45     0   100   34.9   46.0   58.6   89.9   45.2   45.2   40.4   49.6   58.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    51    49     0   100   36.6   49.5   61.6   94.4   50.8   48.0   39.4   48.8   62.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    77    23   100   75.3   68.7   74.8   92.6   48.4   45.0   61.3   69.1   88.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    59    41     0   100   28.2   37.8   51.2   92.8   49.0   45.9   27.1   37.8   52.0   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------