***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 08.03.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 26.03.2018.-01.04.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    77    23   100    5.1    4.5    4.3    0.1   49.2   51.8    3.1    4.5    5.7   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    78    22   100    4.5    4.1    3.9    0.1   47.6   50.8    3.4    4.2    4.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100    7.2    6.8    4.2    0.2   50.1   52.7    5.5    6.8    7.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    75    25   100    1.2    0.7    1.6    0.3   49.5   52.5   -1.0    0.7    1.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    52    48     0   100    1.9    3.9    1.8    0.3   50.6   53.0    1.2    3.8    4.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    51    49     0   100    0.9    2.6   -0.5    0.3   50.6   53.8    0.9    2.5    3.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    78    22   100    4.8    4.4    3.9    0.0   49.1   50.3    3.6    4.5    5.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    51    49     0   100   -4.8   -2.8   -0.6    0.2   48.6   53.1   -3.9   -2.8   -1.9   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    53    47     0   100    2.6    4.6    2.1    0.3   50.8   53.3    3.2    4.5    5.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100    5.0    4.4    0.3    0.2   49.3   53.0    3.0    4.5    6.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    51    49     0   100    2.8    4.6    1.0    0.4   52.1   54.0    2.0    4.5    5.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    52    48     0   100    1.1    3.3    0.3    0.3   51.1   54.3    0.8    3.3    4.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    59    41     0   100    1.8    3.8    0.0    0.3   49.6   54.0    1.9    3.8    5.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    78    22   100    4.8    4.5    1.7    0.0   50.4   51.7    3.6    4.5    5.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    77    23   100    4.8    4.6    2.8    0.4   52.7   53.7    3.2    4.5    5.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    53    47     0   100    3.1    5.3    0.6    0.4   51.6   54.0    3.4    5.2    5.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100    4.9    4.6    3.8    0.0   50.0   49.5    3.5    4.6    5.2   30   Palic                         
37000G16    51    49     0   100    0.7    2.3   -0.4    0.2   51.2   53.3    0.1    2.2    2.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    78    22   100    4.5    4.0    3.9    0.1   48.8   51.7    3.4    4.0    4.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100   -1.9   -0.1   -2.6    0.1   48.0   52.9   -1.6    0.0    0.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    51    49     0   100    2.6    4.3    3.4    0.2   50.0   53.0    2.8    4.3    5.5   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    76    24   100    4.2    3.8    3.5    0.0   49.4   49.6    2.8    3.8    4.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    78    22   100    4.0    3.8    3.7    0.2   50.7   52.7    3.0    3.8    4.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    76    24   100    4.3    3.9    1.6    0.2   52.0   53.2    2.7    3.8    5.0   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    75    25   100    5.1    4.6    2.8    0.1   47.7   51.1    3.4    4.8    5.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    55    45     0   100    1.5    3.3   -0.2    0.3   50.2   54.1    2.1    3.3    5.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    75    25   100    5.9    5.3    3.7    0.2   48.8   51.7    2.9    5.4    6.3   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    76    24   100    3.3    3.1    1.9    0.4   52.9   53.9    1.6    3.0    3.8   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100   -0.6    1.2   -1.1    0.2   51.1   53.7    0.1    1.1    2.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    79    21   100    5.3    4.9    4.0    0.1   48.2   51.3    3.6    5.1    5.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------