***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 07.03.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 11.03.2019.-07.04.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    78    22   100   30.0   39.7   57.6  112.3   64.3   57.1   15.1   25.7   40.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100   34.8   37.5   52.3  114.9   66.6   59.0   20.8   32.2   37.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    78    22   100   41.2   53.0   58.2  114.4   65.9   59.0   20.7   34.1   53.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    78    22   100   42.1   50.9   62.2  108.9   62.8   56.0   27.7   38.0   51.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   39.2   45.9   64.7  115.6   66.4   60.3   29.2   35.9   45.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    35    65   100   44.9   47.4   69.5  122.3   70.5   64.1   25.3   35.6   44.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    51    49     0   100   18.1   37.6   51.0  114.0   65.9   58.4   17.4   29.1   37.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    32    68   100   75.6   83.1   75.7  129.5   77.3   69.4   50.5   58.1   70.6   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    37    63   100   46.9   47.0   66.7  117.6   69.3   60.8   22.7   29.1   41.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    35    65   100   60.9   61.4   75.0  123.9   73.6   65.5   28.6   41.9   57.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    79    21   100   40.4   53.5   66.0  122.2   69.9   64.3   25.7   35.8   53.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    31    69   100   52.3   54.8   67.4  128.9   75.2   68.2   25.9   35.5   52.7   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    29    71   100   48.8   52.9   72.3  126.1   74.8   66.6   31.0   37.1   50.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    36    64   100   61.5   61.7   76.9  120.1   70.2   64.2   37.0   45.8   57.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100   36.7   34.6   56.5  107.6   58.0   54.3   21.6   33.4   40.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    37    63   100   42.1   41.0   66.7  122.3   70.5   64.1   25.8   31.9   39.2   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100   29.4   31.4   50.6  114.7   65.4   58.6   21.3   25.8   32.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    30    70   100   49.5   51.9   79.8  125.3   73.3   66.7   26.3   37.5   49.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    76    24   100   37.6   45.1   54.4  114.8   66.9   58.9   20.3   32.3   44.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    25    75   100   53.4   61.2   93.5  132.6   80.6   72.1   28.7   36.0   50.1   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    78    22   100   36.3   46.9   63.1  116.2   68.5   59.9   24.7   30.9   46.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    81    19   100   32.6   35.4   54.6  115.1   65.9   59.5   22.6   29.6   35.5   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    76    24   100   38.4   40.9   59.0  116.2   67.3   59.7   21.3   33.9   39.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    34    66   100   57.9   59.2   71.5  118.7   69.2   62.5   30.9   44.2   56.7   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100   38.5   39.9   65.0  111.3   64.6   57.1   27.3   33.8   41.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    32    68   100   43.3   44.7   70.5  125.5   71.9   66.2   23.1   32.5   40.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    77    23   100   33.6   39.1   61.1  112.7   65.3   57.4   23.0   29.8   39.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    78    22   100   31.0   37.8   60.4  111.5   62.9   57.3   21.3   27.7   38.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    27    73   100   79.6   87.3   85.1  129.7   76.7   69.8   35.4   56.9   85.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    78    22   100   32.6   39.7   53.3  113.3   65.8   58.2   15.2   29.1   39.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------