***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 21.02.2013. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 04.03.2013.-10.03.2013.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    55    45     0   100 9999.0    0.0   13.2  114.2   66.0   53.0 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    76    24   100    5.9    5.2   12.5  111.2   61.5   54.3    1.2    3.8    6.9   30   Becej                         
27400G00    58    42     0   100    2.7    8.0   13.0  113.3   64.1   51.8    3.4    6.2    8.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    53    47     0   100    4.3   11.9   13.4  111.7   62.3   52.4    4.5    6.6   13.1   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    54    46     0   100    2.4    6.6   13.4  110.4   59.9   52.6    3.6    4.9    9.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    52    48     0   100    1.7    7.7   14.7  101.0   60.1   51.1    1.9    3.5   11.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    77    23   100    4.7    4.2   12.7  112.4   63.8   54.8    1.3    2.4    4.8   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    58    42     0   100    7.6   18.3   13.9  105.4   63.0   53.0    8.9   13.1   22.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    53    47     0   100    2.0    4.5   12.8  102.4   53.7   49.1    0.9    4.1   10.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    56    44     0   100    2.7    7.6   13.6  101.5   57.6   50.3    2.3    6.1    8.6   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    59    41     0   100    1.3    6.9   12.1  102.6   60.2   51.9    1.5    3.0    9.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    61    39     0   100    1.5    7.7   12.2  104.4   63.1   53.3    2.8    3.8    8.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    52    48     0   100    3.4   10.3   14.2  107.5   66.1   55.0    3.5    7.1   10.3   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    56    44     0   100    3.5   13.0   15.6  110.9   64.7   52.7    3.7    8.1   13.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    55    45     0   100    2.1    6.1   13.4  117.0   67.2   54.1    1.0    4.3    6.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    55    45     0   100    2.4    8.6   12.9  105.1   62.5   53.4    2.4    5.3    8.7   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100    4.2    3.7   11.9  107.2   61.5   53.8    0.9    2.5    4.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16    57    43     0   100    2.8    6.4   15.6  103.8   56.5   50.3    1.8    5.8   10.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    55    45     0   100    1.8    7.3   12.6  111.3   63.4   53.7    1.8    4.0    8.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    59    41     0   100    1.6    7.6   19.2  112.8   64.3   53.9    2.4    3.5    8.0   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    52    48     0   100    1.4    6.6   12.7  108.0   60.1   50.6    1.9    2.8    7.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    53    47     0   100    1.5    6.3   12.2  109.2   64.4   53.8    1.4    2.6    7.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    59    41     0   100    2.4   11.5   13.2  113.0   68.7   53.8    1.4    5.6    9.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    56    44     0   100    3.9    9.6   14.8  109.2   60.2   51.0    2.0    8.2   11.4   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    52    48     0   100    2.9    7.2   15.0  115.5   64.6   54.4    2.3    5.7    7.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    76    24   100    5.7    6.4   13.3  100.2   62.7   52.7    0.8    3.3    8.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    54    46     0   100    2.3    7.5   14.4  113.3   64.6   53.5    1.7    4.8    7.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    56    44     0   100    1.4    8.1   13.0  112.0   64.3   53.4    1.8    3.0    8.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    59    41     0   100    5.0   13.2   17.1  106.8   59.7   51.5    4.6   10.3   15.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    51    49     0   100    2.4    6.5   12.7  112.2   62.8   53.6    1.3    4.6    8.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------