***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 19.02.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 02.03.2015.-08.03.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    93     7   100    0.7    0.3    1.4    0.3   48.9   51.2   -1.1    0.5    3.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    94     6   100    0.6    0.6    1.3    0.5   51.6   52.8   -1.1    0.4    1.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    93     7   100    2.7    2.5    1.2    0.4   49.9   52.4    1.1    2.5    3.6   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    88    12   100   -4.1   -3.1   -0.9    0.8   52.8   55.5   -5.5   -4.6   -1.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    88    12   100    0.0   -0.4   -0.9    0.4   48.5   51.5   -1.3   -0.3    0.6   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    86    14   100   -0.9   -1.3   -2.5    0.6   49.0   53.7   -2.8   -1.3    0.2   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    91     9   100    0.9    0.7    1.3    0.5   50.4   52.5   -0.5    0.6    1.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100   -5.0   -7.6   -2.8   -0.2   37.7   43.7   -8.1   -5.6   -3.7   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    90    10   100    1.2    0.9   -0.3    0.3   48.2   50.7   -0.8    0.9    2.2   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    83    17   100    0.8    0.1   -2.1    0.0   42.1   45.8   -0.5    0.3    1.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    86    14   100    0.5    0.1   -1.1    0.4   46.3   50.6   -0.9    0.1    1.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    80    20   100   -0.2   -0.9   -1.6    0.1   41.7   46.7   -2.3   -0.6    0.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    83    17   100    0.3   -0.4   -2.0    0.1   43.8   48.0   -1.0   -0.2    1.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    88    12   100    1.1    0.8   -0.7    0.1   47.0   47.5    0.3    0.8    2.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    87    13   100    1.0    1.6    0.1    1.3   63.7   63.2   -0.9    0.6    2.1   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    85    15   100    1.3    0.8   -1.4    0.4   48.7   51.9   -0.5    0.8    1.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    92     8   100    1.1    1.0    1.3    0.5   53.0   53.3   -0.6    0.9    1.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    79    21   100   -0.8   -2.4   -3.2   -0.4   37.9   41.7   -2.9   -1.2   -0.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    94     6   100    0.9    0.8    1.2    0.5   51.5   53.2   -0.9    0.7    1.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    71    29     0   100   -7.9   -6.7   -5.4   -1.0   31.4   36.0   -6.4   -4.3   -1.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    91     9   100    0.7    0.4    0.7    0.3   49.0   51.4   -0.6    0.5    1.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    91     9   100    1.0    0.8    1.2    0.5   52.9   53.2   -1.1    0.8    2.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    92     8   100    0.5    0.4    0.9    0.5   51.8   53.7   -1.2    0.3    1.4   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    88    12   100    0.4   -0.3   -0.9    0.1   45.2   47.9   -0.7    0.1    1.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    91     9   100    0.4    0.3   -0.1    0.6   52.1   54.2   -0.7    0.2    1.2   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    81    19   100    0.6   -0.8   -2.0   -0.1   39.0   44.3   -1.0    0.1    1.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    93     7   100    0.7    0.4    0.7    0.4   50.0   52.5   -0.8    0.4    1.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    88    12   100   -0.7   -0.4   -0.5    0.9   56.1   57.8   -2.4   -1.0    0.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    51    49     0   100   -4.5   -3.3   -4.1   -0.6   35.3   39.8   -3.5   -1.6   -0.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    93     7   100    1.2    1.0    1.3    0.4   50.5   52.3   -0.7    1.0    1.7   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------