***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 18.02.2016. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 22.02.2016.-28.02.2016.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0     9    91   100   13.0   13.9   11.2    3.9   79.8   80.1    5.4    7.7   11.6   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0     9    91   100   11.3   11.7   10.9    3.5   77.3   78.3    4.6    6.1    9.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    10    90   100   13.2   14.5   11.4    3.8   80.0   79.1    5.3    6.8   10.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    12    88   100    6.5    7.5    8.9    4.2   80.9   80.0   -0.8    0.1    2.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0     9    91   100   13.5   14.4   10.1    4.2   79.6   80.1    5.5    7.2    9.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    12    88   100   11.4   13.2    9.0    4.5   83.7   81.9    4.8    6.9    9.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0     8    92   100   10.7   11.0   10.7    3.6   77.6   78.8    4.6    5.6    8.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    23    77   100    1.4    2.3    8.7    3.9   79.0   78.6   -2.6   -1.1    0.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0     9    91   100   13.3   14.3   11.1    4.2   79.8   80.5    6.1    7.4   10.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    16    84   100   12.5   13.7    9.8    4.2   79.5   79.4    5.5    7.7   10.3   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    11    89   100   13.0   13.9   10.3    4.4   79.7   80.2    5.7    8.0   10.2   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    19    81   100   11.4   12.3    9.4    4.0   77.9   79.1    5.2    7.5   10.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    14    86   100   12.8   13.9    9.9    4.1   78.7   79.9    6.0    7.8   11.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    38    62   100   12.6   16.0   10.5    3.5   78.9   74.7    5.7    7.6   12.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    15    85   100   12.0   13.9   10.8    4.3   81.6   80.7    4.5    6.6    8.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    10    90   100   13.5   14.5   10.0    4.3   79.2   80.7    6.5    8.5   11.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    10    90   100   10.2   10.6   10.3    3.3   75.9   77.3    4.8    5.8    9.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    27    73   100   11.4   12.8    8.9    3.7   77.4   77.2    5.5    7.4    9.9   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    13    87   100   11.7   12.6   11.0    3.5   77.9   78.0    4.8    5.8    9.7   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    39    61   100    6.0    8.0    6.4    3.2   76.9   74.9    1.6    2.9    7.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    12    88   100   13.4   14.9   11.5    4.1   80.4   80.3    5.7    7.4    9.8   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    16    84   100   11.1   11.6   10.4    3.1   75.4   76.4    4.9    5.8   10.3   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    20    80   100   11.8   13.5   11.0    3.5   79.3   77.4    5.6    6.2   11.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    25    75   100   12.5   13.9   10.6    3.7   77.6   77.3    5.8    7.8   11.1   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    11    89   100   11.8   12.8   10.1    4.0   79.8   80.1    5.2    6.3    8.7   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    29    71   100   10.5   11.7    8.5    3.7   78.6   78.7    6.4    7.6   10.1   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0     8    92   100   12.5   13.2   10.6    3.9   80.0   79.9    5.4    7.0    8.6   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    14    86   100   13.1   14.9   10.0    4.3   81.6   80.3    5.2    6.4    9.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    37    63   100    7.2    8.6    7.8    3.4   76.9   75.5    2.0    4.5    7.4   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    10    90   100   11.2   12.0   11.0    3.6   79.5   78.8    4.6    5.6    9.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------