***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 15.02.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 05.03.2018.-11.03.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    66    34     0   100   -1.4   -1.2   -1.0   -1.9   28.1   36.0   -0.8    1.2    2.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    65    35     0   100   -1.2   -1.4   -1.2   -2.1   24.2   32.8   -0.8    0.5    1.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00    65    35     0   100    0.2    1.1   -0.9   -1.9   27.2   35.2    1.2    2.9    4.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    65    35     0   100   -7.3   -5.5   -4.0   -2.1   25.4   33.4   -4.7   -3.3   -1.5   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    64    36     0   100   -1.8   -1.5   -3.4   -1.8   29.0   35.7   -1.2    0.2    0.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22    54    46     0   100   -2.6   -2.2   -5.0   -1.2   33.4   40.1   -2.2   -0.7    0.1   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    66    34     0   100   -1.3   -1.3   -1.1   -2.1   24.5   33.2   -0.9    0.8    2.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    61    39     0   100   -9.2   -8.6   -5.1   -1.5   29.7   37.9   -8.3   -5.7   -5.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    63    37     0   100   -1.3   -0.4   -2.8   -1.7   29.7   36.3   -0.2    1.4    2.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    62    38     0   100   -1.0   -0.5   -4.4   -1.6   29.2   36.9   -0.4    0.6    1.7   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    61    39     0   100   -1.8   -0.6   -3.9   -1.5   29.4   37.1   -0.3    0.5    1.4   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    56    44     0   100   -2.5   -2.5   -4.2   -1.3   30.6   39.4   -2.0   -0.2    0.3   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    51    49     0   100   -1.6   -0.7   -4.4   -1.2   32.0   40.9   -0.6   -0.2    1.1   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    63    37     0   100   -0.6   -0.6   -3.1   -1.7   28.2   36.6    0.0    1.3    2.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    67    33     0   100   -1.2   -1.6   -2.8   -1.8   26.3   33.9   -0.7    1.4    2.0   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    60    40     0   100   -0.7   -0.5   -4.2   -1.4   30.4   38.5   -0.2    0.9    2.0   30   Nis                           
06700G01    70    30     0   100   -1.4   -2.0   -1.3   -2.3   22.4   31.0   -0.6    1.0    2.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    64    36     0   100   -3.1   -2.5   -5.0   -1.5   30.0   38.3   -2.2   -1.1   -0.3   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    66    34     0   100   -1.4   -1.2   -1.2   -2.1   24.5   33.2   -0.6    0.7    2.0   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    60    40     0   100   -7.0   -7.1   -6.4   -1.4   31.4   40.0   -6.9   -4.0   -2.0   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10    65    35     0   100   -1.6   -0.6   -1.7   -1.8   29.1   35.8   -0.2    1.0    1.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    69    31     0   100   -1.5   -2.0   -1.5   -2.2   21.9   31.2   -1.1    1.0    2.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    65    35     0   100   -1.3   -1.1   -1.4   -2.0   24.8   33.8   -0.9    0.5    1.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    67    33     0   100   -1.3   -1.0   -3.3   -1.7   28.3   36.6   -1.0    0.2    1.8   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11    63    37     0   100   -1.1   -0.6   -2.5   -2.0   28.5   34.9   -0.1    1.0    1.6   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    0.7   -1.0   -4.4   -1.0   34.0   41.8   -1.2    0.3    1.7   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    64    36     0   100   -1.3   -1.2   -1.5   -1.9   28.5   35.9   -0.1    1.0    1.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    66    34     0   100   -2.8   -2.3   -3.6   -1.9   25.9   34.2   -1.7   -0.7    1.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    62    38     0   100   -4.9   -3.4   -5.4   -1.4   30.6   39.1   -3.3   -1.9   -0.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    67    33     0   100   -1.1   -1.1   -1.1   -2.0   25.6   33.8   -0.5    1.0    2.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------