***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.02.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 16.02.2015.-22.02.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    89    11   100    6.0    7.5    5.9    0.5   57.8   57.9    4.9    5.4    9.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    89    11   100    5.3    6.0    6.3    0.9   58.8   60.3    3.1    4.7    7.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    90    10   100    6.3    7.1    6.1    0.3   57.6   55.7    3.5    5.8    8.8   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    82    18   100    0.6   -1.6    1.9   -1.4   37.1   38.4   -2.7   -0.2    0.9   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    90    10   100    6.6    6.0    3.6   -0.6   47.7   47.6    3.7    6.1    9.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    87    13   100    5.7    5.6    2.5   -0.4   52.1   49.9    2.9    5.0    7.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    87    13   100    4.9    7.3    6.4    1.2   63.8   62.8    2.8    4.2    8.3   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    89    11   100   -1.6   -1.1    3.7    0.2   57.6   54.7   -3.5   -1.9   -0.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    91     9   100    7.0    6.6    5.0   -0.2   52.2   51.4    4.4    6.5    9.1   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    90    10   100    6.8    6.9    4.3    0.0   56.2   53.2    4.2    6.2    9.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    90    10   100    7.2    7.1    4.0   -0.3   51.9   49.9    4.5    6.7    8.9   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    88    12   100    6.3    7.1    4.2    0.2   58.1   55.0    4.1    5.6    8.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    84    16   100    6.7    8.4    4.7    0.7   63.1   59.4    4.5    5.7    8.9   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    91     9   100    7.0    9.0    6.0    0.4   60.8   56.5    3.6    6.6    9.4   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    83    17   100    6.5    4.2    3.3   -1.2   39.1   40.3    3.4    5.9    7.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    87    13   100    7.2    6.9    3.8   -0.2   53.7   51.2    4.7    6.4    9.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    86    14   100    4.8    6.5    6.3    1.2   61.9   63.4    2.6    4.0    7.3   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    92     8   100    6.0    6.9    3.8    0.0   58.0   53.0    3.3    5.6    8.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    90    10   100    5.8    7.0    6.4    0.7   57.8   58.8    2.9    5.3    7.8   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    90    10   100    3.3    3.8    2.4    0.4   59.9   56.8    0.9    2.9    4.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    89    11   100    7.2    6.8    5.5    0.0   53.8   52.9    3.8    6.6    9.0   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    86    14   100    5.9    6.7    6.4    1.0   62.4   61.9    2.8    5.2    7.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    91     9   100    6.3    6.7    6.5    0.6   58.5   57.6    2.9    5.9    8.1   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    92     8   100    6.9    7.4    5.3    0.1   58.6   53.9    3.7    6.5    9.1   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    92     8   100    5.0    5.8    4.3    0.1   56.6   54.7    3.6    4.7    8.4   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    44    56   100    8.9    8.1    4.1    0.8   62.8   60.1    4.7    5.4    8.9   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    89    11   100    6.0    7.0    5.5    0.7   61.0   59.6    4.1    5.3    7.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    80    20   100    7.1    3.9    2.4   -1.6   33.7   36.1    3.8    6.3    7.7   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    90    10   100    3.1    4.1    3.3    0.2   59.1   54.7    0.1    2.6    4.8   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    89    11   100    5.4    5.8    6.3    0.8   59.6   59.7    3.0    4.8    8.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------