***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 12.02.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 09.03.2015.-15.03.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    76    24   100    1.3    0.5    1.3   -0.4   48.2   47.1   -0.2    0.7    1.3   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    53    47     0   100   -0.8    0.1    1.1   -0.3   47.4   48.1   -0.4    0.3    1.4   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    76    24   100    3.1    2.0    0.9   -0.5   44.0   45.7    1.1    2.3    3.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    76    24   100   -3.2   -5.1   -1.5   -0.5   40.2   46.8   -5.2   -3.9   -1.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    77    23   100   -0.3   -1.5   -1.4   -0.6   41.5   46.2   -1.7   -0.9    0.8   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    75    25   100   -0.7   -2.0   -3.2   -0.5   36.0   46.0   -2.4   -1.2   -0.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    76    24   100    0.9    0.3    1.2   -0.2   48.7   49.0   -0.2    0.4    1.5   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    77    23   100   -5.9   -8.3   -3.0   -0.8   36.3   43.9   -8.5   -6.7   -4.4   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    51    49     0   100   -1.0    0.1   -0.7   -0.7   40.2   45.7   -0.3    0.3    0.9   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    75    25   100    1.0   -0.1   -2.4   -0.8   39.0   44.2   -0.7    0.5    1.9   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    76    24   100    0.8    0.0   -1.6   -0.5   41.8   46.1   -0.7    0.4    1.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    76    24   100   -0.7   -1.7   -2.1   -0.7   37.0   45.1   -2.0   -1.3    0.2   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100    0.4   -0.5   -2.5   -0.7   36.4   44.9   -0.7   -0.1    0.8   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    53    47     0   100   -0.3    0.1   -1.0   -0.8   38.5   44.2   -0.3    1.4    2.1   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    55    45     0   100   -0.5   -0.1   -0.9   -0.4   39.6   47.7   -0.3    1.0    1.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    77    23   100    0.9    0.1   -2.1   -0.6   38.2   45.5   -0.1    0.4    1.8   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    77    23   100    1.0    0.4    1.1   -0.3   48.7   48.8    0.0    0.5    1.5   30   Palic                         
37000G16    55    45     0   100   -2.8   -1.7   -3.3   -1.0   37.8   42.7   -2.1   -1.1    0.0   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    54    46     0   100   -0.8    0.2    1.0   -0.4   46.0   47.2   -0.4    0.6    1.4   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    58    42     0   100   -5.7   -4.9   -5.1   -1.0   34.1   41.7   -5.0   -3.4   -2.1   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    77    23   100    0.4   -0.2    0.3   -0.6   43.1   45.7   -0.9   -0.1    1.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    52    48     0   100   -1.3    0.1    0.9   -0.4   49.5   47.7   -0.4    0.1    1.1   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    52    48     0   100   -1.1   -0.3    0.5   -0.5   44.6   46.2   -0.8    0.4    1.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    51    49     0   100   -1.1   -0.2   -1.2   -0.8   38.5   44.0   -0.6    0.3    1.2   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    77    23   100    0.7    0.1   -0.5   -0.4   46.2   47.9   -0.6    0.2    1.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    0.4   -1.3   -2.2   -0.6   36.5   46.2   -1.4   -0.1    1.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    51    49     0   100   -0.5    0.5    0.5   -0.4   48.7   47.7   -0.4    0.5    0.8   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    52    48     0   100   -2.4   -1.6   -1.3   -0.5   39.0   46.5   -1.8   -1.3    0.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    53    47     0   100   -4.3   -3.7   -4.0   -1.0   35.7   42.5   -4.0   -2.6   -0.2   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    51    49     0   100   -0.4    0.2    1.2   -0.3   47.6   47.5   -0.4    0.3    1.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------