***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 09.02.2017. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 20.02.2017.-26.02.2017.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    40    60   100    0.5    1.2    1.2    2.3   71.9   69.6   -1.8   -0.8    1.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    36    64   100    0.0    0.5    1.4    2.7   75.1   72.4   -3.0   -1.6   -0.1   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    37    63   100    2.7    3.5    1.5    2.5   73.7   71.8   -0.5    0.2    1.7   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    31    69   100   -3.0   -1.9   -0.7    2.8   77.1   74.5   -7.5   -5.8   -3.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    28    72   100   -0.7   -0.2    0.0    2.7   79.5   74.5   -2.4   -1.8   -0.7   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    25    75   100   -0.4    0.0   -2.4    2.9   75.3   75.2   -2.5   -2.1   -1.3   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    40    60   100    0.4    1.3    1.3    2.6   73.9   71.0   -2.3   -1.4    0.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    20    80   100   -4.7   -3.9   -2.0    3.1   79.8   77.1   -9.7   -7.2   -5.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    26    74   100    1.0    1.8    0.0    2.7   79.2   75.6   -2.0   -0.7    0.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    23    77   100    0.7    1.4   -1.3    3.0   79.6   76.5   -1.4   -0.5   -0.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    25    75   100    0.2    0.6   -0.8    2.7   77.7   74.7   -1.8   -1.0   -0.5   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    23    77   100   -1.0   -0.8   -1.3    2.8   77.9   74.7   -2.4   -1.8   -1.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    24    76   100    0.0    0.3   -1.4    2.7   77.5   74.4   -1.8   -1.0   -0.2   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    27    73   100    1.0    2.2    0.0    3.1   81.0   75.9   -2.2   -1.1    0.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    36    64   100    0.0    0.6    0.0    2.5   74.0   71.5   -2.6   -0.9    0.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    28    72   100    0.5    0.7   -1.2    2.7   77.7   74.4   -1.0    0.0    0.4   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    36    64   100    0.1    1.1    1.6    2.9   76.6   74.3   -2.9   -1.8    0.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    22    78   100   -2.0   -1.0   -1.5    3.2   82.2   78.0   -4.1   -3.1   -2.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    35    65   100    0.3    1.2    1.3    2.7   75.3   72.6   -2.9   -1.6    0.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    19    81   100   -3.5   -2.9   -2.7    3.4   83.2   79.3   -6.5   -5.1   -3.8   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    32    68   100    0.3    0.9    1.1    2.6   76.8   73.9   -1.8   -1.1    0.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    35    65   100    0.3    1.6    1.5    2.9   78.3   74.7   -3.5   -1.9   -0.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    33    67   100   -0.6   -0.1    1.0    2.6   75.3   72.6   -2.8   -1.8   -0.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    25    75   100    0.2    1.0    0.0    3.1   80.7   77.1   -2.5   -1.4   -0.5   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    34    66   100    0.1    0.6    0.6    2.7   77.7   72.9   -2.1   -0.7    0.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    23    77   100    0.6    0.9   -1.6    2.8   76.1   75.1   -1.7   -0.7    0.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    38    62   100    0.5    1.0    1.0    2.5   74.6   70.5   -1.8   -1.0    0.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    34    66   100   -1.1   -0.6   -0.3    2.8   77.2   74.3   -3.1   -2.1   -1.1   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    20    80   100   -1.0    0.6   -2.2    3.4   82.8   79.1   -6.5   -3.9   -2.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    38    62   100    0.5    1.4    1.4    2.5   73.5   71.1   -2.6   -1.3    0.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------