***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
PAD1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
PAD2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anacp%: prognoziran procenat od normale, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctacp: prognoziran percentil: srednjak ansambla u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
avpacp: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 23.01.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 17.02.2020.-23.02.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66      pad1   pad2   eavg  anacp% pctacp avpacp  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    64    36     0   100    3.0    6.0    8.0   65.1   43.5   37.8    3.5    6.6    9.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    57    43     0   100    1.5    3.4    7.3   70.2   45.7   39.9    1.5    3.6    6.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00    63    37     0   100    2.9    3.3    7.7   66.9   44.7   37.5    2.1    5.9    9.0   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    62    38     0   100    3.5    5.7    9.8   75.6   46.7   38.5    4.2    5.8   10.3   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    60    40     0   100    3.8    6.1    9.8   75.8   46.2   40.0    3.7    6.8   10.0   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    76    24   100    7.4    3.6    8.7   69.8   44.2   38.2    2.5    5.6    9.7   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    59    41     0   100    1.7    3.6    7.2   70.4   47.7   40.7    1.4    3.8    6.1   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    55    45     0   100    6.2    9.4   10.1   72.8   44.7   40.0    6.5   10.2   20.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    61    39     0   100    2.0    4.0   10.1   75.8   46.7   40.3    2.4    4.6   10.8   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    57    43     0   100    2.8    5.2   10.6   75.7   45.8   40.5    3.8    5.9   11.8   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    53    47     0   100    2.6    4.4    9.2   74.6   47.0   39.9    2.6    4.9   11.6   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    54    46     0   100    2.9    5.4    8.9   72.8   44.9   40.2    3.0    5.9   11.5   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    76    24   100   11.1    8.4    9.4   73.4   45.1   39.6    4.7    9.1   14.0   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    59    41     0   100    3.0    6.0   10.4   74.5   45.0   40.1    4.8    6.3   11.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    59    41     0   100    1.4    3.7    8.9   74.7   51.3   37.5    1.1    3.3    7.3   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    51    49     0   100    3.3    4.9    9.0   73.1   45.9   39.2    3.2    5.8    8.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01    57    43     0   100    1.8    3.7    7.5   75.2   48.6   42.4    1.2    4.1    6.9   30   Palic                         
37000G16    55    45     0   100    3.8    6.9   11.4   77.5   46.9   41.1    3.4    7.7   10.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    59    41     0   100    1.8    3.4    7.3   69.0   45.3   38.9    1.5    4.3    8.2   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    55    45     0   100    4.9    7.8   13.9   73.6   46.7   40.7    5.0    8.7   14.6   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    59    41     0   100    2.0    3.3    9.3   72.8   46.0   39.9    2.0    4.0   10.4   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    57    43     0   100    1.9    4.4    7.9   75.2   50.2   41.7    1.4    4.4    6.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    61    39     0   100    2.2    3.2    7.7   68.9   45.0   38.4    2.6    5.1    8.0   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    57    43     0   100    3.9    5.9    9.9   74.7   45.1   40.2    5.0    6.2   12.4   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    58    42     0   100    1.8    3.6    9.8   70.5   46.4   38.8    2.7    4.2    9.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24    54    46     0   100    4.5    8.5    8.8   69.5   43.8   38.4    4.7    9.4   12.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    58    42     0   100    2.7    4.5    8.6   66.4   44.4   38.2    3.1    5.1    8.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    62    38     0   100    1.4    3.1    9.0   74.7   48.5   37.9    1.8    3.4    7.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    52    48     0   100    7.6   13.1   12.3   77.8   46.7   41.4    7.7   15.0   20.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    59    41     0   100    2.2    4.4    7.2   66.3   45.5   38.3    1.4    5.2    6.1   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
padavine > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
padavine < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.7-0.8
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------