***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 23.01.2020. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 03.02.2020.-09.02.2020.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    25    75   100    1.6    3.3    1.4    3.9   85.2   79.0   -4.6   -0.8    1.4   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    26    74   100    0.6    2.4    1.5    4.1   85.6   80.2   -5.4   -1.1    0.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    25    75   100    3.1    5.3    1.7    4.2   87.4   80.7   -1.9    0.2    2.2   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    16    84   100   -2.0   -0.3   -0.5    4.7   86.7   82.7   -7.6   -4.6   -3.5   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    21    79   100   -0.2    0.5   -0.3    4.1   83.7   79.5   -4.7   -2.3   -1.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    16    84   100   -1.6   -0.1   -2.4    4.2   82.3   79.7   -5.0   -3.7   -2.8   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    26    74   100    0.8    2.3    1.5    4.0   84.8   79.3   -4.9   -0.8    0.2   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    28    72   100   -5.8   -4.8   -2.6    3.7   78.6   76.7   -9.5   -7.9   -5.8   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    20    80   100    0.9    3.0   -0.2    4.2   86.2   81.3   -4.0   -0.8    0.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    25    75   100    0.1    0.9   -1.9    3.9   81.0   78.1   -4.7   -1.7    0.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    21    79   100   -0.3    0.5   -1.0    4.1   83.0   79.6   -4.8   -2.5   -0.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    26    74   100   -1.3   -0.3   -1.7    3.9   79.9   77.2   -5.2   -3.5   -1.9   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    27    73   100   -0.7    0.4   -1.8    3.9   81.1   78.0   -4.4   -2.7   -1.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    23    77   100    1.2    3.1   -0.1    4.5   88.6   82.6   -3.3   -0.7    0.7   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    16    84   100    0.0    1.9    0.9    4.9   92.1   85.7   -3.5   -1.8   -0.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    23    77   100    0.6    1.3   -1.4    4.2   83.0   80.1   -4.1   -1.3   -0.6   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    28    72   100    0.5    1.7    1.7    4.1   88.2   79.8   -5.5   -1.0    0.4   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    22    78   100   -2.4   -1.4   -2.1    4.0   83.5   79.0   -6.1   -3.8   -2.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    25    75   100    0.8    2.6    1.5    4.1   87.3   81.1   -4.8   -0.9    0.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    25    75   100   -4.8   -4.2   -3.7    3.3   75.6   73.9   -9.9   -7.5   -6.3   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    22    78   100    0.8    1.9    1.0    4.1   84.7   80.4   -4.5   -1.4   -0.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    25    75   100    0.7    2.0    1.6    4.1   89.0   80.5   -5.3   -1.1    0.6   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    22    78   100    0.0    2.0    1.2    4.2   89.7   82.5   -4.3   -1.4   -0.3   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    22    78   100   -0.2    2.2   -0.2    4.3   88.2   81.9   -4.6   -2.3   -0.3   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    25    75   100   -0.1    1.1    0.7    4.1   84.6   80.1   -4.2   -2.1   -0.5   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    27    73   100   -1.1   -0.6   -2.2    3.6   77.4   75.3   -4.0   -2.9   -2.2   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    27    73   100    0.7    2.8    1.1    4.0   83.5   78.6   -5.1   -1.8   -0.2   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    17    83   100   -0.6    0.9   -0.1    4.8   88.4   83.1   -5.8   -2.8   -1.2   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    24    76   100   -1.4    0.1   -3.0    3.7   80.2   77.2   -6.5   -4.1   -2.6   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    25    75   100    1.3    3.1    1.5    4.0   85.3   79.9   -5.1   -0.6    0.6   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------