***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 22.01.2015. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 02.02.2015.-08.02.2015.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    83    17   100    6.0    5.0    3.6    0.2   54.2   52.3    2.1    4.9   10.2   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    82    18   100    6.2    5.9    3.6    0.3   55.4   53.3    2.8    5.1    9.5   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    84    16   100    6.9    6.3    3.8    0.2   54.0   52.8    3.7    5.8   10.5   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    86    14   100    1.2    0.9    1.8    0.4   54.3   53.8   -1.8    0.7    4.0   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    86    14   100    6.6    6.3    2.0    0.0   52.8   51.1    3.5    5.8    9.1   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    79    21   100    6.2    5.0    0.6   -0.3   46.2   47.1    2.7    5.5    7.6   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    82    18   100    5.9    4.9    3.4    0.2   55.3   52.7    2.0    4.8    9.0   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    80    20   100    0.0   -2.1    0.7   -0.8   43.3   43.8   -3.1   -0.6    1.2   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    85    15   100    7.4    6.7    2.6   -0.1   50.9   49.8    4.1    6.5   10.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    81    19   100    7.2    5.8    1.5   -0.6   46.1   46.1    4.6    6.2    9.1   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    85    15   100    7.0    6.2    1.7   -0.1   49.9   49.1    3.7    6.2    9.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    84    16   100    6.8    5.4    1.3   -0.5   45.4   46.1    4.1    6.0    9.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    79    21   100    6.9    5.0    0.9   -0.5   44.6   46.0    3.6    5.9    9.7   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    85    15   100    8.6    7.5    2.8   -0.3   48.9   48.9    4.7    7.6   11.2   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    87    13   100    6.7    6.7    2.3    0.8   58.8   57.3    4.6    6.2    8.7   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    84    16   100    7.3    6.4    1.4   -0.1   49.8   49.1    4.1    6.4    9.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    80    20   100    6.4    5.6    3.3    0.2   54.7   52.3    3.0    5.5    9.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    81    19   100    6.5    5.0    1.0   -0.9   42.7   43.5    4.0    5.8    8.6   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    81    19   100    6.7    6.2    3.7    0.3   54.7   53.4    3.0    5.5    9.6   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    75    25   100    3.6    1.5   -1.1   -1.4   35.7   38.5    1.2    2.7    4.7   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    85    15   100    7.2    6.9    3.2    0.1   52.8   51.6    3.9    6.4   10.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    80    20   100    7.2    6.7    3.6    0.3   55.0   53.0    3.7    6.1    9.9   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    83    17   100    6.6    6.0    3.8    0.2   53.1   52.6    4.1    5.5   10.5   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    85    15   100    8.1    7.2    2.6   -0.4   48.3   48.0    4.4    7.2   10.7   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    83    17   100    5.5    4.8    2.1    0.1   53.2   51.2    3.1    4.5    8.9   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    77    23   100    6.0    4.8    0.6   -0.6   44.4   44.4    3.3    5.0    8.4   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    82    18   100    6.0    5.2    2.7    0.0   53.3   50.9    3.0    4.9    9.0   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    86    14   100    7.7    7.9    2.1    0.6   56.2   55.2    5.7    7.2    9.6   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    79    21   100    3.7    1.6    0.1   -1.2   39.6   40.9    0.8    2.7    5.7   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    82    18   100    5.9    5.9    3.7    0.3   55.5   53.3    2.3    4.7    9.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------