***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 17.01.2019. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 21.01.2019.-17.02.2019.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04    61    39     0   100    2.6    2.2    3.7   -1.2   28.8   37.8    2.4    5.0    6.5   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06    66    34     0   100    1.8    1.2    3.4   -1.8   21.7   32.8    2.6    3.6    6.8   30   Becej                         
27400G00    62    38     0   100    2.9    2.7    4.0   -1.4   26.9   36.7    3.5    4.8    6.9   30   Beograd                       
28900G14    59    41     0   100   -2.3   -2.0    0.6   -1.6   30.1   34.8   -1.7    0.0    0.8   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13    57    43     0   100    3.6    3.3    2.4   -1.2   31.0   38.6    3.3    5.1    6.9   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    75    25   100    5.0    4.3    2.3    0.1   50.5   51.6    3.1    4.2    5.9   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03    65    35     0   100    1.4    0.7    3.5   -1.6   23.6   34.3    2.1    3.3    6.4   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18    58    42     0   100   -3.0   -2.7    1.9   -0.9   33.8   40.6   -2.7   -1.6   -1.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12    57    43     0   100    3.6    3.7    3.2   -1.2   28.2   38.2    3.9    5.2    7.6   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18    60    40     0   100    3.3    3.6    2.4   -1.2   30.0   38.6    3.7    5.0    7.0   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19    56    44     0   100    3.6    3.6    2.7   -0.9   33.7   40.8    3.6    5.1    7.0   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21    55    45     0   100    3.6    4.3    2.7   -0.6   38.4   44.3    4.1    4.7    6.8   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23    56    44     0   100    3.8    4.6    2.9   -0.2   46.8   48.4    3.7    5.0    6.5   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08    65    35     0   100    3.8    3.6    3.2   -1.7   27.0   34.8    3.8    6.4    6.8   30   Loznica                       
29500G14    58    42     0   100    3.0    2.8    1.7   -1.6   30.3   34.0    3.1    5.5    6.6   30   Negotin                       
38800G20    57    43     0   100    4.0    4.4    2.6   -0.5   40.4   44.9    4.1    5.6    6.9   30   Nis                           
06700G01    67    33     0   100    1.7    1.1    3.2   -1.9   20.6   31.1    2.2    3.6    6.0   30   Palic                         
37000G16    65    35     0   100    2.5    2.4    2.2   -1.2   29.7   38.0    2.6    4.2    6.1   30   Pozega                        
16800G06    66    34     0   100    2.1    1.8    3.6   -1.8   22.7   33.3    2.8    3.7    6.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16    59    41     0   100    0.2    1.0    0.9   -0.8   33.8   41.0    1.0    1.7    3.0   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10    56    44     0   100    3.6    3.5    3.8   -1.2   28.7   38.0    3.5    5.2    7.3   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05    70    30     0   100    2.1    1.6    3.3   -2.0   20.6   30.2    2.7    4.3    6.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07    67    33     0   100    2.3    2.2    3.8   -1.6   25.0   34.7    3.0    4.5    6.6   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09    63    37     0   100    3.5    3.8    3.4   -1.4   27.7   36.6    4.1    5.7    7.2   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11    61    39     0   100    2.3    2.3    2.3   -1.3   28.9   36.5    2.5    3.6    6.3   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    75    25   100    5.3    4.7    2.6    0.2   51.2   52.0    4.0    4.6    6.6   30   Vranje                        
18300G04    61    39     0   100    2.7    3.1    3.3   -1.1   29.3   38.3    3.1    4.5    6.4   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15    59    41     0   100    3.6    3.3    1.4   -1.4   32.2   36.5    3.5    6.0    7.4   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16    64    36     0   100    0.5    0.3    1.8   -1.1   31.4   38.8    0.3    1.8    3.1   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02    66    34     0   100    1.7    1.4    3.5   -1.6   23.1   34.6    2.7    3.4    6.3   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------