***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mxt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mxt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmx2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmxt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmxt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 11.01.2018. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 15.01.2018.-21.01.2018.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mxt1   mxt2   eavg  anmx2t pctmxt avpmxt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    84    16   100    3.8    3.5    4.2    0.1   50.6   50.7    2.4    3.5    4.1   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    86    14   100    3.8    3.6    4.6    0.4   54.0   53.3    1.2    3.4    4.2   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    91     9   100    4.7    4.8    5.4    0.8   55.3   55.8    2.6    4.4    5.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    80    20   100    0.7   -0.6   -0.1   -1.2   40.8   40.2   -3.1    0.1    1.7   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    91     9   100    4.5    4.4    3.5    0.7   52.8   54.1    2.9    4.3    5.4   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0    89    11   100    4.2    4.6    2.4    1.1   56.7   57.2    2.3    3.9    5.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    86    14   100    3.3    3.1    4.2    0.2   53.4   51.5    0.6    3.0    4.6   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0    92     8   100   -1.0   -1.2    3.0    0.9   52.5   54.0   -2.2   -1.3    1.0   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    93     7   100    5.2    5.6    4.7    1.0   55.3   56.4    2.9    5.0    6.5   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0    94     6   100    4.2    4.6    4.0    1.1   54.1   55.7    2.5    4.1    5.4   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0    92     8   100    4.5    4.7    4.5    1.3   57.3   58.2    2.2    4.3    5.3   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0    92     8   100    4.8    4.9    3.4    1.0   53.4   55.3    2.2    4.5    6.1   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    91     9   100    3.7    3.5    4.4    1.4   55.7   57.8    2.6    3.4    4.6   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    92     8   100    4.6    5.6    5.6    1.2   55.2   57.2    2.6    4.4    6.6   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0    79    21   100    4.8    3.1    1.3   -1.3   39.2   38.1    1.8    4.4    5.2   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    91     9   100    4.9    5.1    3.6    1.1   54.4   56.3    3.2    4.8    5.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    87    13   100    3.1    2.8    3.9    0.1   51.9   50.4    1.3    2.8    4.7   30   Palic                         
37000G16     0    93     7   100    2.4    2.5    3.7    1.2   52.9   55.4    1.4    2.3    3.4   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    87    13   100    3.5    4.3    5.0    0.7   55.8   55.7    1.4    3.2    5.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0    94     6   100    1.4    1.2    2.0    0.8   50.9   52.4    0.3    1.2    2.6   29   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    92     8   100    4.5    4.5    5.2    0.8   54.2   55.3    2.7    4.3    5.6   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    87    13   100    3.6    4.4    4.6    0.4   55.1   53.1    1.6    3.3    5.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    88    12   100    3.1    4.4    5.6    1.2   57.1   59.1    1.9    2.8    4.7   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    92     8   100    4.1    5.4    5.5    1.4   56.0   58.0    2.9    3.8    6.7   29   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    86    14   100    3.4    3.1    3.1    0.0   48.8   48.7    2.1    3.1    4.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    93     7   100    3.7    3.4    2.3    0.5   49.2   50.9    2.4    3.4    4.8   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    86    14   100    3.9    3.5    3.8    0.1   50.1   50.1    2.2    3.5    4.7   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    82    18   100    5.1    4.1    0.9   -1.0   42.6   41.7    2.6    4.7    6.0   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    94     6   100    2.1    2.4    3.3    1.3   53.5   55.7    0.1    1.8    3.5   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    86    14   100    3.5    3.6    4.6    0.4   53.8   53.5    1.1    3.2    4.5   30   Zrenjanin                     


--------------------------------
|   ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju   |
--------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------